March 26 (Reuters) - Private credit has limited ability
to cause significant losses that could hurt the broader
financial system, Barclays said on Thursday, despite growing
strains on the asset class.
Jitters in private credit have rippled through markets this
month, with major U.S. banks tightening lending and funds
capping withdrawals as mounting concerns over valuations,
transparency and the health of the economy prompted some
investors to exit the sector.
* Barclays in a note said that most private credit holdings
are with long-term institutional investors, such as pensions,
endowments, sovereign wealth funds and insurers, whose
obligations aren't easily shaken by short-term market
volatility.
* At the same time, private credit's retail exposure has
grown but remains concentrated.
* This combination reduces the risk of sudden, correlated
selling pressure that could trigger broader financial contagion,
Barclays added.
* "While the asset class has undoubtedly expanded, increased
leverage within the financial system, and become more
interconnected, scale alone does not imply systemic risk,"
Barclays said.
* Shares of alternative asset managers have also come under
pressure this year amid growing concerns over the valuations of
software companies they own or finance.
* Barclays says this exposure will test lenders'
underwriting discipline, though any shakeout is likely to unfold
slowly through lower payouts, discounted secondary sales and
isolated losses rather than an abrupt correction.
* "Any assessment of systemic risk must therefore narrow its
focus to the segments where leverage, opacity, and borrower
cyclicality actually intersect, which we believe is most acute
in the ~$1.3 trillion of deployed middle market direct lending
in the U.S. today," Barclays said.