(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Gavin Maguire
LITTLETON, Colorado, March 25 (Reuters) - When the
missiles and drones eventually stop flying in the U.S.-Israeli
air strikes against Iran, a new contest is likely to get
underway: the scramble for contracts to rebuild damaged oil and
gas infrastructure and restore shipping lanes - and influence -
across the Middle East.
The destruction is not confined to Iran. At least 40 energy
assets across nine countries in the Middle East have been
"severely or very severely" damaged, with oil and gas fields,
refineries and pipelines all expected to take some time to
repair, the International Energy Agency head Fatih Birol warned
on Monday. He described the crisis as worse than the two oil
shocks of the 1970s, as well as the impact of the Russia-Ukraine
war on gas, put together.
From engineering specialists lining up to rebuild smashed
pipelines to logistics firms able to repair bombed-out ports and
terminals, a select group of companies is poised to turn the end
of the conflict into the start of a lucrative boom.
Here's a look at which sectors and companies are potential
candidates to compete for the scores of energy and port
reconstruction projects likely to emerge across the Middle East
once the war finally ends and the cleanup campaign begins.
ENGINEERING CONGLOMERATES
Multinational engineering giants will be among the first
companies called in to Iran once the fighting stops to help
assess the damage and draw up reconstruction plans.
Firms with experience in repairing and constructing oil
rigs, refineries, pipelines and natural gas liquefaction plants
will play a vital role in Iran's recovery and in restoring
revenue flows to the country.
Political affiliations will likely play a role in picking
the ultimate winners, with both the Iranian and U.S. governments
expected to have strong views on how contracts are divvied up.
Even so, after several weeks of steady bombing there should
be plenty of work to go around.
Major U.S. firms with hefty oil and gas engineering and
service arms include SLB (formerly Schlumberger),
Halliburton ( HAL ), Baker Hughes ( BKR ) and Weatherford
, alongside the privately held Bechtel Corp.
On the Iranian side, the Khatam-al Anbiya Construction firm
- controlled by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) -
and the Mapna Group, the country's largest contractor in oil,
gas and power, are the obvious domestic candidates.
International firms including Italy's Saipem,
France's Technip, India's Larsen and Toubro
and Dubai-based Sidara also have extensive operations in the
Middle East, and so will have the contacts and experience needed
to get work underway quickly.
China's state-owned CNPC, United Arab Emirates-based NMDC
and Britain's Petrofac also have a regional presence
and can be expected to compete for bids.
OIL & GAS MAJORS
Once pipelines are patched up and energy infrastructure is
repaired, the world's oil and gas producers will likely look to
step in to resume extraction at well sites and return the
region's refineries and liquefied natural gas plants to full
operation.
National energy firms throughout the region are likely to
feature prominently, including National Iranian Oil Company
(NIOC), QatarEnergy, Saudi Aramco and Abu Dhabi
National Oil Company (ADNOC).
International majors including top U.S. oil producer Exxon
Mobil ( XOM ), France's TotalEnergies and the UK's
Shell also have extensive operations throughout the
Middle East and will look to protect their positions.
The scale of destruction gives some sense of the
opportunity. Israeli strikes hit four units of Iran's South Pars
gas field, while Iranian attacks on Qatar's Ras Laffan
Industrial City caused extensive damage to LNG facilities that
will take years and tens of billions of dollars to restore.
SHIPPING AND UTILITIES
The damage does not stop at the wellhead. Ports, power grids
and water systems across the region have all taken hits,
requiring an equally critical reconstruction effort.
Large ports in and around Iranian waters have sustained
significant damage from recent bombardments, along with scores
of naval and merchant vessels.
The Strait of Hormuz - a narrow chokepoint between Iran and
Oman through which roughly a fifth of the world's crude oil and
LNG passes - has been effectively closed, and reopening it will
be a prerequisite for any return to normal global energy flows.
Restoring port facilities and clearing shipping channels
will require specialists in harbour reconstruction and marine
salvage, with the recovery effort expected to run for years.
On the power side, state-owned Tavanir and the Mapna Group
operate most of Iran's electricity generation and transmission
networks and will anchor the domestic recovery effort.
Russia's Rosatom, which manages Iran's Bushehr nuclear
reactor near recent strike zones, faces a more complex
challenge, given that the Kremlin's role in any U.S.-backed
reconstruction effort is likely to be contested.
Desalination plants supplying clean water in Iran and
Bahrain have also been hit, as have parts of the Israeli
electricity grid, widening the scope of the rebuild well beyond
Iran's borders.
Even if the fighting stopped today, years of reconstruction
work would lie ahead - and when it begins, some companies will
be cleaning up in more ways than one.
(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
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