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Russia has repeatedly missed its plane-building targets
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Western sanctions have starved Russia of spare aircraft
parts
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Moving to domestic production will take years, says source
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Russian industry is struggling with high interest rates
By Gleb Stolyarov and Alexander Marrow
Aug 8 (Reuters) - Russian aircraft makers have delivered
only one of 15 planned commercial jets this year, data from
Swiss aviation intelligence provider ch-aviation shows, as
sanctions on foreign components stall production and high
interest rates crimp investment.
Since Russia's February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, Western
sanctions have cut off access to foreign-made aircraft and spare
parts. With a fleet of more than 700 planes dominated by Airbus
and Boeing ( BA ) jets, Russian airlines now rely on
complex, indirect import routes to source critical components.
"There is no component base, no technology, no production
facilities, no engineers," said one Russian aviation industry
source, who declined to be named due to the sensitivity of the
matter. "To create all this from scratch takes years, if not
decades."
Given Russia's geographical challenges as the world's
largest country, it depends on commercial aircraft for domestic
freight and passenger transport across its 11 time zones.
Recent major incidents highlight an urgent need to prevent
the fleet degrading. In late July, a Soviet-era Antonov An-24,
built in 1976, crashed in the country's far east, killing all 48
people on board. Days later, flag carrier Aeroflot
grounded dozens of flights following a crippling cyberattack.
The aviation sector's struggles to become self-sufficient
are part of a broader industrial slowdown. Russia's factory
output contracted at its fastest pace since March 2022 in July,
according to Purchasing Managers' Index data, and industrial
growth continues to decelerate.
High interest rates have played a part in dwindling car
production, coal sector bankruptcies, slowing export volumes of
commodities like metals and oil products, as well as the missed
plane-building targets, officials and businesses have said,
contributing to slowing economic growth.
"Industry is being hit faster and harder by tight monetary
policy," said Dmitry Polevoy, head of investment at Astra Asset
Management, warning that the industrial sector was on the brink
of recession.
PRODUCTION DELAYS AND NEW TARGETS
In 2021, Russia added 52 new commercial aircraft to its
fleet - including 27 from Airbus, three from Boeing ( BA ), and 22
Sukhoi Superjets built with imported parts - for airlines
including Aeroflot, S7, Red Wings, Rossiya, and Ural Airlines,
data from ch-aviation shows.
Since then, only 13 new planes have been added: 12 Superjets
used by several Russian airlines and one Tupolev Tu-214, a
twin-engine, narrow-bodied jet designed for medium-haul flights,
the data showed.
The Tu-214 is being used by First Deputy Prime Minister
Denis Manturov, according to a person familiar with the matter,
FlightRadar24 data, and Russian media reports.
The government has repeatedly revised its production goals.
In mid-2024, it cut the 2024-2025 delivery target to 21 from 171
aircraft. Last month, officials said targets would be revised
again, citing high interest rates, which have made financing
more expensive and slowed production.
State conglomerate Rostec, which oversees production of the
Superjet-100s, Tupolev Tu-214s, Ilyushin passenger planes and
the new Yakovlev MC-21 jet, has struggled to meet deadlines.
Rostec CEO Sergei Chemezov told Reuters last year that
Russia would produce its own passenger planes, but delivery
dates have repeatedly slipped.
The MC-21 aircraft, built entirely with Russian-made parts,
was much heavier than the version built with imported parts,
reducing range and fuel efficiency - so airlines have been
reluctant to adopt it, according to the Russian aviation source.
On Tuesday, Chemezov told Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin
that serial production of the MC-21, SJ-100, and IL-114 jets
would begin in 2026, two years later than originally planned.
United Aircraft Corporation, the Rostec subsidiary that
manages all the conglomerate's aircraft production, did not
respond to a request for comment.
SANCTIONS AND SUPPLY CHAIN
Despite efforts to localise production, Russia continues to
rely on foreign suppliers.
Customs data seen by Reuters shows that parts worth at least
$300,000 were imported in 2024 via intermediaries in Turkey,
China, Kyrgyzstan, and the UAE. These included components from
France's Safran, U.S. Honeywell ( HON ), and Britain's
Rolls-Royce. There is no evidence of these companies
having violated sanctions.
Russia has developed a system of parallel imports, allowing
goods to enter the country through third parties without the
manufacturer's knowledge or consent.
Safran and Rolls-Royce did not immediately respond to
requests for comment.
Honeywell ( HON ) said it is not providing any equipment, parts, or
products to any company in Russia and is "actively working to
identify and interrupt any possible diversion of our products
into Russia via third parties."
Russia is trying to solve a unique and "hypercomplex"
problem, Industry and Trade Minister Anton Alikhanov said last
month.
"No other country in the world produces fully
import-substituted planes," Alikhanov said.
Reduced aircraft supply while demand remains high is pushing
up prices for consumers, with ticket prices rising steadily
throughout 2023 and 2024, Rosstat data shows.
Meanwhile, Moscow has been forced to get creative, asking
airlines from Central Asian countries like Kazakhstan and
Uzbekistan to run domestic Russian routes.