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Alphabet's strong cash flow supports capital spending
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Investors cautious of AI investments with unclear returns
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Zuckerberg acknowledges risks of over-investing in AI
(Updates share movement in paragraph 4)
By Deborah Mary Sophia, Akash Sriram and Jaspreet Singh
Oct 30 (Reuters) - Three of the biggest U.S. technology
companies flagged plans on Wednesday to accelerate capital
spending over the next year but investors were most accepting of
Google-parent Alphabet's ability to fund its plans
from its cash flow.
Alphabet, Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Facebook-owner Meta
all announced plans for higher annual capital
expenditures as they pour money into chips and data centers.
Shares of all three have risen substantially this year
on expectations that they will be winners in the AI race, but
investors only cheered Alphabet's report as they calculated the
costs to each firm of the investments.
Shares of Meta sank more than 11% on Thursday while
Microsoft ( MSFT ) fell more than 2%, as investors remain concerned about
the timeline for returns on such heavy investments.
Alphabet's shares, however, rose over 5%.
A key reason for the gain, analysts say, is the search
giant's ability to balance its soaring expenses with strong cash
flow.
"I would think that comes into play - to have capital
spending be a lower percentage of revenue and cash flow. That
maybe gives investors more comfort. All the players are ramping
up spending pretty dramatically, and there's been a lot of
concern about pressure on free cash flow," said Dave Heger,
senior equity analyst Edward Jones.
Alphabet's capital expenditure of $23.95 billion in the
September quarter was 49% of its cash generated from operations.
The percentage for Meta, however, is 64.6%, with Microsoft ( MSFT ) even
higher at 77.5%.
"Ongoing investments in data centers and AI infrastructure
is a theme we've seen across Big Tech this earnings season. But
unlike some of its peers, Alphabet is more than covering that
spend with cash flow, and it's firing on all cylinders," said
Josh Gilbert, market analyst at eToro.
Investors have become wary of AI spending but big tech
companies are not detailing exactly how much AI contributes to
revenue and profit.
With multi-billion-dollar deals being struck across the AI
industry, investors are also growing cautious of a web of
circular investments.
Still, executives were adamant that they had to spend to
keep up with demand for AI computing power. Meta CEO Mark
Zuckerberg said that in the worst-case scenario of
over-investing in AI, the company would see "some loss and
depreciation, but we'd grow into that and use it over time."
Companies with stronger cash flow can afford to invest more
aggressively in AI infrastructure because they can tolerate
lower returns on those outlays, said Dan Morgan, portfolio
manager at Synovus Trust.
Major cloud computing provider Amazon ( AMZN ) will offer
another piece of the AI investment picture and returns in the
tech space when it reports third-quarter earnings on Thursday.