WASHINGTON, March 27 (Reuters) - U.S. banks with
significant lending exposure to some multi-family properties and
particularly rent-controlled housing are vulnerable to posting
losses this year on rising costs facing landlords, according to
Fitch Ratings analysts.
On a Wednesday call, Fitch Ratings analysts highlighted the
risks facing banks which have underwritten loans behind
apartment complexes and other multifamily properties.
Lending by banks to multifamily borrowers grew 32% since
2020 to $613 billion at the end of 2023, according to a March 19
report by Fitch.
But supply has begun to outstrip demand, creating downward
pressure on the rents landlords can charge, Fitch noted during
Wednesday's call. These landlords also face rising interest
rates and insurance premiums, coupled with decreasing apartment
values.
These factors have weighed on several regional banks with
high exposure to the asset class, and in particular those most
exposed to rent-controlled multifamily loans, where landlords
face a ceiling on rent increases to offset rising costs.
"Especially in the more stringent rent-controlled areas,
there is a limited ability to make up that difference," said
Brian Thies, senior director at Fitch, on Wednesday's call.
"So I would say it can be a concern for loan performance at
this point."
This was seen in late February, when regional bank New York
Community Bancorp ( NYCB ) posted $2.7 billion in losses and a
$552 million provision for credit losses in its fourth quarter,
including on a New York-based rent-controlled multifamily loan.
Fitch highlighted 10 banks with the greatest multifamily
loan exposure as of year-end 2023. Flagstar Bank ,
which merged with New York Community Bancorp ( NYCB ) in 2022, topped the
list with 43.6% of its loan portfolio in multifamily.
Other banks with a high proportion of multifamily loans
include First Foundation Bank, Dime Community Bank ,
Pacific Premier Bank and Apple Bank for Savings
, according to Fitch.
These and other banks are exposed to rent-controlled
multifamily loan markets in states with stringent rent-control
laws including California, New York, New Jersey and Oregon.
There were 49 banks at the end of 2023 with at least 5% of
multifamily loans past due on their payments, the ratings agency
noted. Most of these consisted of regional and community banks.
The most capital-constrained banks will likely look to sell
more of these loans - and at a loss, the Fitch analysts noted.
"We would consider most U.S. banks as well-reserved
currently for multifamily lending," Thies said.
"But it's generally going to come down to the value of the
collateral and how readily the bank can dispose of that."
(Reporting by Matt Tracy; editing by Costas Pitas)