NEW YORK, Feb 6 (Reuters) - U.S. regional banks are
capitalizing on improving investor sentiment by raising billions
of dollars in equity to pursue deals and beef up their balance
sheets.
Since Donald Trump's U.S. election victory in November,
banks have raised $1.7 billion through share sales, according to
LSEG data, close to the $1.8 billion raised during the previous
10 months of 2024. When turmoil spread through regional banks in
2023, lenders raised less than $850 million in equity during the
full year.
The volume of banks' equity raises increased after the
election, as investors became more optimistic that regulators
will allow more mergers and acquisitions in the banking
industry, said John Esposito, Morgan Stanley's ( MS ) global co-head of
financial institutions.
"Share prices improved due to the perception of improved
growth and an expectation of a more friendly regulatory
environment," he said. "Most banks desire to get bigger, and
there may be changes in the regulatory approval process and the
proposed capital rules" that would ease deals, he said. Esposito
expects M&A to be concentrated among mid-sized lenders,
particularly those with less than $50 billion in assets.
The merger of Banc of California ( BANC ) and PacWest in 2023
simultaneous with a capital raise was an early example of such a
deal. Other transactions supported by new capital include
acquisitions by Fulton Financial ( FULT ), UMB and Old National.
"The main drivers of bank capital raising right now are to
support an M&A transaction, a balance sheet restructuring, and
offensive capital for an economy that continues to steam ahead,"
said Tom Michaud, CEO of investment bank Keefe, Bruyette &
Woods.
Banks that hold securities or loans that are underwater have
also raised capital as a way to sell assets, recognize losses on
their portfolios and improve future earnings. While selling the
securities results in a short-term loss, the moves are aimed at
increasing future profits.
KeyCorp ( KEY ), Amerant Bancorp ( AMTB ) and Flushing Financial Corp ( FFIC ) are
among the companies that have tapped investors in capital
markets to shore up their balance sheets in recent months.
"Raising capital makes it easier for banks to absorb
embedded securities portfolio losses, and in some cases could
lead to more favorable regulatory review of deals," said Lee
Meyerson, chairman and founding partner of the financial
institutions practice at law firm Simpson Thacher & Bartlett.
Regional banks started to carry bigger paper losses on their
securities portfolios in the fourth quarter as 10-year Treasury
yields rose, said Megan Fox, a vice president on Moody's
Ratings' banking team. Average yields rose from 3.81% to 4.58%
in the quarter.
Two days after Trump was elected on Nov. 5, Valley Bank
sold $400 million of stock, helping to even out price moves.
"We were an outlier on certain balance sheet metrics,
including our commercial real estate (CRE) concentration, which
increased the volatility in our stock," Valley's interim CFO
Travis Lan told Reuters in an interview. Reducing its
concentration in CRE made the stock more stable, Lan said.
As the industry outlook improves, more small and mid-sized
lenders are likely to raise equity in transactions averaging
between $200 million and $400 million said Liz Jacobs, head of
banks and diversified financials at Morgan Stanley ( MS ).
"Investors are more supportive of mid-sized and regional
banks, due to the improved profitability outlook and potential
industry regulatory changes," she said.
Lenders should capitalize on the current strength of the
market to bolster their balance sheets, said a banker working on
several transactions for financial institutions who declined to
be identified discussing private negotiations.
"If I'm a bank's financial officer and did not discuss a
capital raise, I'm living under a rock," the banker said.