By Savyata Mishra and Juveria Tabassum
May 1 (Reuters) - Global fast food giants may have to
dole out steeper promotions to lure inflation-hit customers who
are increasingly opting to eat at home, following weak sales
from the likes of McDonald's and Starbucks ( SBUX ) this week.
Disposable income in the United States is declining,
particularly in the lower-income cohort, while the slow economic
recovery in China has increased industry-wide pressures for
quick-service chains including KFC ( YUM ) owner Yum Brands ( YUM ) that
has extended across several quarters.
Menu prices have risen across the industry over the past
year as companies try to mitigate higher commodity and supply
chain costs. However, that has hurt demand and boosted
consumers' desire to eat at home in the United States, the
world's largest economy.
"The lack of value offers has opened up consumers to shop
for different options whether it be other (chains) or the
grocery stores," Razmig Poundardjian, portfolio manager for
Carnegie Investment Counsel said.
Packaged food companies are also feeling the pinch of weak
consumer spending, especially from low-income households, as
their cookies and baked snacks see a slowdown in sales.
"Ongoing softness in U.S. biscuits is driven primarily by
brands that had higher penetration among lower-income households
such as Chips Ahoy!," Mondelez CFO Luca Zaramella said.
Meanwhile, Kraft Heinz ( KHC ) CEO Carlos Abrams-Rivera on
Wednesday noted "a clear pullback of restaurant spend by these
lower-earning households, especially in restaurants and
convenience stores."
China's weakness is also taking a toll. Coffee chain
Starbucks ( SBUX ) expects full-year comparable sales globally to come in
between flat and a low single-digit gain, lowering its previous
guidance, with CEO Laxman Narasimhan saying that customers had
made the trade-off "between food away from home and food at
home".
Burger giant McDonald's, which has a higher exposure
to the lower-income cohort, saw global sales decline for the
fourth straight quarter pushing it to lean on improving offers
on its meals.
"I think it's important to recognize that all income cohorts
are seeking value," McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski said on a
post-earnings call on Tuesday.
The U.S. consumer confidence index fell for the third
consecutive month in April, according to a survey conducted by
research group The Conference Board, which found that the first
place Americans are looking to save money is on meals away from
home.
Over the next six months, 44.8% of those surveyed said they
planned to cut back on food away from home to save money.
Domino's Pizza and Burger King owner Restaurant
Brands on the other hand got a sales boost in the
reported quarter on the back of their loyalty programs and
higher promotions.
So far this year, shares of Domino's Pizza have gained 27%,
while those of Restaurant Brands and McDonald's are down 6% and
8%, respectively. Shares of Starbucks ( SBUX ) have tumbled 22%.