WASHINGTON, Oct 8 (Reuters) - The Congressional Budget
Office estimated on Tuesday a U.S. federal deficit of $1.834
trillion for fiscal 2024, the highest in the post-COVID era, as
debt interest costs jumped sharply and outlays rose for Social
Security, Medicare and health insurance tax credits.
The estimate, which precedes the U.S. Treasury Department's
year-end budget report later this month, shows a deficit up 11%
from the $1.7 trillion fiscal 2023 gap but slightly lower than
the $1.9 trillion deficit estimated in June by CBO.
WHY IT'S IMPORTANT
U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris is arguing that she would
be more fiscally responsible as president than Republican rival
Donald Trump, pledging to fully offset new spending with tax
increases elsewhere. A fiscal think-tank, the Committee for a
Responsible Federal Budget, estimated on Monday that Trump's
plans would pile up $7.5 trillion in new debt, more than twice
the $3.5 trillion from Harris' proposals.
But after significant U.S. deficit declines in 2021 and 2022
as the economy recovered and COVID-19 rescue spending faded,
deficits have grown significantly during the past two years, and
CBO estimates that "baseline" deficits, which assume no changes
to current laws, will grow $22 trillion over the next 10 years.
BY THE NUMBERS:
CBO estimated that total revenues rose 11% to $4.918
trillion, powered by higher individual income taxes and
corporate income taxes as economic growth remained strong. The
non-partisan budget referee agency estimated that outlays for
the fiscal year ended Sept. 30 totaled $6.752 trillion, up 11%
from fiscal 2023.
The biggest growth in outlays comes from interest on the
public debt, which rose 34% to $950 billion, while spending on
Medicare, Social Security and the military also increased.
The year-on-year deficit comparisons were affected by the
fiscal 2023 reversal of $330 billion in costs associated with
President Joe Biden's student loan forgiveness plan that was
struck down by the Supreme Court. Without the reversal, last
year's deficit would have exceeded $2 trillion.
KEY QUOTES
Because of this anomaly, the White House characterized the
fiscal 2024 deficit as a decrease from last year.
"While the deficit is lower than it was last year,
President Biden believes we need to reduce the deficit further
by making the wealthy and large corporations pay their fair
share, and by reducing wasteful spending on special interests
like Big Pharma," White House spokesperson Jeremy Edwards said
in a statement.
Some Republicans seized on the estimates to claim that
Biden and Harris were fiscally irresponsible.
"President Biden and Vice President Harris have ignored
resounding messages from Iowans and Americans nationwide, as
well as alarms from global credit ratings companies. By
consistently choosing a spendthrift agenda over fiscal sanity,
this administration has hamstrung our economy for generations to
come," Republican Senator Chuck Grassley said in a statement.