financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Fed's Bowman: Greater confidence in falling inflation needed before more cuts
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Fed's Bowman: Greater confidence in falling inflation needed before more cuts
Feb 17, 2025 7:43 AM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday she wanted increased conviction that inflation will decline further this year before lowering interest rates again, particularly given uncertainty around the impact of the Trump administration's new trade and other policies.

"I would like to gain greater confidence that progress in lowering inflation will continue as we consider making further adjustments," to a policy rate that the Fed is currently holding steady in the 4.25% to 4.5% range, Bowman said in remarks prepared for delivery to an American Bankers Association conference. 

The benchmark interest rate "is now in a good place, allowing the committee to be patient and pay closer attention to the inflation data as it evolves," she said, referring to the Fed's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee.

Holding rates steady for now "also provides the opportunity to review further indicators of economic activity and get further clarity on the administration's policies and their effects on the economy," she said.

"It will be very important to have a better sense of these policies, how they will be implemented, and establish greater confidence about how the economy will respond in the coming weeks and months," she said.

President Donald Trump, since taking office last month for his second term, has issued a blizzard of orders on trade and tariffs, but has also turned around in some cases and rescinded tariffs. 

Bowman, appointed by Trump during his first term, has been among the most hawkish at the Fed in her approach to inflation. She said she does expect inflation to slow further this year, with an upcoming report on the personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy costs expected to have dropped from 2.8% in December to 2.6% in January. The PCE is the Fed's favored inflation gauge.

The expected inflation rate remains above the Fed's 2% target, and Bowman noted that the current 4% unemployment rate is below her estimate of full employment, while wages are expanding faster than what she regards as consistent with the central bank's inflation goal.

Inflation "has appeared to resume its downward path, and my baseline expectation has been that it will moderate further this year," she said. Even so, she added, "there are upside risks...for the inflation path."

The Fed is expected to hold the benchmark interest rate steady at its upcoming March meeting as policymakers watch the impact in particular of the import tariffs Trump has proposed or implemented so far.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
October Nonfarm Payroll Growth Slows Sharply Amid Boeing Strike, Hurricanes
October Nonfarm Payroll Growth Slows Sharply Amid Boeing Strike, Hurricanes
Nov 4, 2024
10:51 AM EDT, 11/01/2024 (MT Newswires) -- US job creation fell well short of Wall Street's estimates in October amid an ongoing Boeing ( BA ) strike and potential hurricane-related disruptions, according to government data released Friday. Total nonfarm payrolls climbed by 12,000 last month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. The consensus was for a 100,000 increase, according to...
Fed seen on course for rate cuts after weak jobs data
Fed seen on course for rate cuts after weak jobs data
Nov 4, 2024
(Reuters) - Any doubts the Federal Reserve will go ahead with an interest-rate cut next week fell away on Friday after a government report showed U.S. employers added fewer workers in October than in any month since December 2020. The 12,000 increase in non-farm payrolls last month was far short of the 113,000 economists had anticipated even after they tried...
US Manufacturing Shrinks For Seventh Straight Month, Contraction Accelerates In October
US Manufacturing Shrinks For Seventh Straight Month, Contraction Accelerates In October
Nov 4, 2024
Economic activity in the U.S. manufacturing sector contracted for the seventh consecutive month in October, marking the 23rd decline in the past 24 months. What Happened: According to the latest Manufacturing ISM Report On Business released today, the manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) dipped to 46.5%. That’s down from September’s 47.2%, making it the lowest reading of the year. Timothy...
US manufacturing drops to 15-month low in October
US manufacturing drops to 15-month low in October
Nov 4, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. manufacturing activity slumped to a 15-month low in October and factories faced higher prices for inputs. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said on Friday its manufacturing PMI fell to 46.5 last month, the lowest level since July 2023, from 47.2 in September. A PMI reading below 50 indicates contraction in the manufacturing sector, which accounts...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved