financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Fed's Musalem says policy in right place, warns of job market risks
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Fed's Musalem says policy in right place, warns of job market risks
Sep 3, 2025 6:18 AM

(Reuters) -St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem said on Wednesday the U.S. central bank's monetary policy is in the right place given current economic data, in remarks that did not give a clear signal whether he supports an interest rate cut later this month.

"The current modestly restrictive setting of the policy rate is consistent with today's full-employment labor market and core inflation nearly one percentage point above the Fed's 2% target," Musalem said in the text of a speech to be delivered to an event at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.

Looking ahead, Musalem indicated he needs more data to decide where he believes monetary policy should go.

"I will continue to update my outlook and my assessment of the balance of risks to seek a forward-looking path of interest rates that best positions monetary policy for achieving and maintaining maximum employment and price stability for all Americans," he said.

Musalem was speaking ahead of the Fed's September 16-17 policy meeting, when it is broadly expected to cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point from the current 4.25%-4.50% range. Fed Chair Jerome Powell late last month indicated such a move was possible.

The case for cutting rates rests on worries the job market is at risk of a notable weakening, even as inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target and is likely to get worse due to President Donald Trump's tariffs on imports. The U.S. government is scheduled on Friday to release its closely-watched monthly employment report, which will provide Fed officials with a crucial piece of data before their rates decision.

A number of Fed officials, however, have over the last few weeks shown skepticism over the need to cut rates, given the current level of inflation in the economy.

In his remarks, Musalem explained that the Fed will need to balance its job and inflation mandates going forward. He said the job market is at full employment right now, but added, "I expect the labor market to gradually cool and remain near full employment with risks tilted to the downside."

Musalem also said a variety of increases in underlying unemployment measures as well as recent downward revisions to data "have further increased my perception of downside risks to the labor market."

As for the inflation outlook, Musalem said tariffs are likely to represent a passing squall for the economy, with the impact of the rise in import taxes working through the economy over the next two to three quarters.

"The impact on inflation will fade after that," Musalem said, adding that "below-trend real GDP growth and stable longer-term inflation expectations should limit the persistence of inflation."

Musalem also said the Fed's inflation target is in sight. "I expect inflation will resume convergence toward 2% in the second half of 2026," he said while noting that "I perceive a reasonable possibility that above-target inflation could be more persistent."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed sees a glimmer that recent US productivity gains may last
Fed sees a glimmer that recent US productivity gains may last
Dec 16, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Dreanda Cordero reentered the job market this year after a five-year break to raise three children, landing a data entry position she was not thrilled about that required on-site work she had trouble juggling and coincided with health troubles of her own and one of her kids. She quit after two months.  But her next step demonstrated...
Fed sees a glimmer that recent US productivity gains may last
Fed sees a glimmer that recent US productivity gains may last
Dec 16, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Dreanda Cordero reentered the job market this year after a five-year break to raise three children, landing a data entry position she was not thrilled about that required on-site work she had trouble juggling and coincided with health troubles of her own and one of her kids. She quit after two months.  But her next step demonstrated...
US Dollar Rises Early Monday, Focus on Retail Sales, FOMC, Personal Income, Spending This Week
US Dollar Rises Early Monday, Focus on Retail Sales, FOMC, Personal Income, Spending This Week
Dec 16, 2024
07:49 AM EST, 12/16/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Monday, except for a decline versus the pound, with the focus on retail sales data for November on Tuesday, the Federal Open Market Committee's rate decision Wednesday, and personal income data Friday before a relatively quiet Christmas holiday week. The week starts Monday...
China's factory output up, but consumption still a drag
China's factory output up, but consumption still a drag
Dec 15, 2024
BEIJING (Reuters) -China's industrial output growth quickened slightly in November, while retail sales disappointed, keeping pressure on Beijing to ramp up stimulus for a fragile economy as it braces for more U.S. trade tariffs under a second Trump administration. The mixed set of data underlines the challenges facing Chinese leaders heading into 2025 when trade relations with the United States...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved