financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Gasoline, shelter costs lift US consumer prices in February
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Gasoline, shelter costs lift US consumer prices in February
Mar 12, 2024 6:08 AM

(Refiles to insert dropped word in paragraph one)

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. consumer prices increased solidly in February amid higher costs for gasoline and shelter, suggesting some stickiness in inflation that could delay an anticipated June interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve.

The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.4% last month after climbing 0.3% in January, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Tuesday. Gasoline and shelter, which includes rents, contributed more than 60% to the monthly increase in the CPI. In the 12 months through February, the CPI increased 3.2%, after advancing 3.1% in January.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI gaining 0.4% on the month and increasing 3.1% year-on-year. The annual increase in consumer prices has slowed from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022, but progress has stalled in recent months.

Inflation picked up in January, largely blamed on beginning- of-year price raises by service providers, which economists said were not fully addressed by the model used by the government to strip out seasonal fluctuations from the data.

There was also a jump in owners' equivalent rent (OER), a measure of the amount homeowners would pay to rent or would earn from renting their property, which diverged from rents. That was partly the result of some methodology changes by the government.

The BLS last week held a webinar to discuss the underlying methodology related to the January OER and rent data.

"There is a high likelihood that OER inflation will exceed rent inflation more often moving forward," said Stephen Juneau, an economist at Bank of America Securities in New York. "However, we think that much of the 20 basis points divergence was noise and not signal. Rent and OER inflation should continue to moderate over the course of this year, helping to drive core inflation lower as goods price deflation dissipates."

Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI increased 0.4% last month after rising by the same margin in January. In the 12 months through February, the so-called core CPI advanced 3.8%. That was the smallest year-on-year increase since May 2021 and followed a 3.9% rise in January.

The Fed tracks the personal consumption expenditures price indexes for its 2% inflation target. These measures are running at rates more tamer than the CPI. Though job growth accelerated in February, the unemployment rate increased to a two-year high of 3.9% and annual wage inflation moderated a bit.

Prior to the release of the CPI data, financial markets saw a roughly 70% chance of the Fed cutting rates in June. Since March 2022, the U.S central bank has raised its policy rate by 525 basis points to the current 5.25%-5.50% range.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US Equity Indexes Rise in Choppy Trading as Fed Kicks off March Policy Meeting
US Equity Indexes Rise in Choppy Trading as Fed Kicks off March Policy Meeting
Mar 19, 2024
01:06 PM EDT, 03/19/2024 (MT Newswires) -- US equity indexes rose in choppy midday trading Tuesday as the countdown began for the Federal Reserve to release updated economic projections and outlook for interest rates this year. The S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 5,171.8, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.8% higher at 30,094.1, and the Nasdaq Composite 0.3% higher...
Fed's rate-cut confidence likely shaken but not yet broken by inflation
Fed's rate-cut confidence likely shaken but not yet broken by inflation
Mar 20, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Federal Reserve officials left their policy meeting in late January in search of greater confidence that inflation was on a sustainable downward path, a notably squishy standard they set for determining when the U.S. central bank might start cutting interest rates. Instead, they've have been buffeted by services prices roaring upward, job growth that continues to surprise...
US Dollar Rises Early Wednesday Ahead of FOMC Meeting Statement, Powell
US Dollar Rises Early Wednesday Ahead of FOMC Meeting Statement, Powell
Mar 20, 2024
07:44 AM EDT, 03/20/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Wednesday as markets anticipate the Federal Open Market Committee will leave the target range for the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.50% in its statement due for release at 2:00 pm ET, focusing attention on any changes in the statement, the updated...
When Will Federal Reserve Cut Rates? Crypto Bettors See 52% Chance By This Date
When Will Federal Reserve Cut Rates? Crypto Bettors See 52% Chance By This Date
Mar 19, 2024
Investors and analysts are closely watching the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday with the potential for the first of several rate cuts that were said to be coming in 2024. What Happened: The Federal Reserve hinted at three rate cuts for 2024, which would follow two years that saw the federal funds rate raised by...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved