financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
New York Fed finds consumers more worried about job market in August
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
New York Fed finds consumers more worried about job market in August
Sep 8, 2025 8:30 AM

(Reuters) -Americans grew notably less sanguine about the job market in August and downgraded views of their current financial situations, a report from the New York Federal Reserve Bank showed on Monday.

The regional Fed bank's Survey of Consumer Expectations for August also found essentially stable expectations for future price pressures.

The survey, conducted over the course of last month, flagged a sharp rise in respondents who said finding a new job would be harder if they became unemployed. The expected probability of finding new work in such an event among respondents was 44.9%, the lowest level in the survey since June 2013 and down from 50.7% in July.

Expectations that the unemployment rate will be higher in the future rose in August, as did expectations of future job loss, the probability of which stood at 14.5% of respondents, above the 12-month average of 14%. In August, survey respondents also said they marked down the probability of leaving a job voluntarily.

The troubled outlook for hiring is another sign of challenges in the job market. Government data released over the two months has shown a notable deceleration in the rate of job growth amid big downward revisions to previous months' numbers.

JOB WOES

On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that non-farm payrolls rose by a modest 22,000 jobs after increasing by 75,000 in July. The unemployment rate ticked up slightly to 4.3%, which was itself a four-year high. The data also showed that in June the economy lost jobs, something that had not happened in four and a half years.

The worsening outlook for hiring is helping buttress the outlook for a Fed rate cut next week. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to lower its short-term benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to the 4.00%-4.25% range at the end of its September 16-17 meeting.

Fed officials worry that President Donald Trump's trade tariffs could further boost already stubborn levels of inflation. But they are also increasingly anxious that the job market is running into trouble, and that's becoming the main focus of monetary policy.

"I've been clear that I think we should be cutting at the next meeting," Fed Governor Christopher Waller said in an interview with CNBC last week. "You want to get ahead of having the labor market go down because usually when the labor market turns bad, it turns bad fast."

The New York Fed survey also found respondents have downgraded their current financial situations, although it added that respondents' "year-ahead expectations about households' financial situations became more dispersed" in August.

Relative to July, "a larger share of households are expecting a worse financial situation, and an equally larger share of households are expecting a better financial situation in one year from now," it said.

The survey, which is most closely watched for its findings on the expected path of inflation, found relative stability in August. The year-ahead expected level of inflation rose to 3.2% from 3.1% in July, while expectations for price pressures three and five years from now were unchanged at 3% and 2.9%, respectively.

Stable inflation expectations data will likely be welcomed by Fed officials, as it signals a lower risk that the tariffs will drive a persistent increase in price pressures.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed Chair Powell says pandemic has had lasting effects on economy
Fed Chair Powell says pandemic has had lasting effects on economy
Mar 22, 2024
(Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday opened a Fed Listens event on how Americans are experiencing the economy, saying the pandemic has had lasting effects and that to make good policy the U.S. central bank cannot rely only on macroeconomic data but needs to hear directly from people and businesses. He did not make any remarks about the...
US Congress scrambles to pass $1.2 trillion spending bill, midnight deadline looms
US Congress scrambles to pass $1.2 trillion spending bill, midnight deadline looms
Mar 22, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives and Democratic-majority Senate on Friday will scramble to beat a midnight government shutdown deadline by passing a $1.2 trillion bill keeping the government funded through September. If they succeed, it will end a more-than-six-month battle over the scope of Washington's spending for the fiscal year that began Oct. 1. If they...
US Dollar Improves Early Friday Ahead of Fed Appearances, State Unemployment
US Dollar Improves Early Friday Ahead of Fed Appearances, State Unemployment
Mar 22, 2024
07:38 AM EDT, 03/22/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Friday, except for a decline versus the yen, ahead of a series of appearances by Federal Reserve officials that compensate for a lack of major US data. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to make opening remarks at a Fed Listens conference at...
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
Mar 22, 2024
(Reuters) - U.S. companies' purchases of domestic equities through more stock buybacks and corporate acquisitions will hit a six-year high of $625 billion this year, about as much as mutual funds and pension houses will offload, Goldman Sachs said. A surge in share buybacks and continued growth in cash mergers and acquisitions (M&A) will be the primary drivers of corporate...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved