financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Trump demands Fed cut rates. His Iran war has investors betting otherwise
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Trump demands Fed cut rates. His Iran war has investors betting otherwise
Mar 12, 2026 3:35 PM

March 12 (Reuters) - As oil prices surged on Thursday amid an intensifying Iran war, U.S. President Donald Trump again demanded Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell cut interest rates.

"He should be dropping Interest Rates, IMMEDIATELY," Trump said in a Truth Social post.

But since the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran on February 28, investors have rushed the other way, betting that higher oil prices will worsen inflation and keep the Fed from cutting until the end of the year, if then.

Interest-rate futures that had been priced for two quarter-point cuts by the end of the year before the conflict began are now barely pricing in one. That's despite the expectation that former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, whom Trump picked to succeed Powell as a more rate-cut-friendly Fed chair, will take the helm of the U.S. central bank in mid-May when Powell's leadership term ends.

Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei vowed on Thursday to keep the Strait of Hormuz shut, disrupting transport for one-fifth of the world's oil supply. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude jumped, settling at $95.70.

Higher oil prices mean higher gasoline prices, which also can inflate prices for food and other goods via higher transport costs.

Food prices will also rise because Hormuz is a major global conduit for fertilizer shipments, analysts forecast.

Goldman Sachs analysts said on Thursday they now see PCE inflation, which the Fed targets at 2%, rising to 2.9% by December, and pushed their own expectation for the next Fed rate cut to September, from June previously.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US Dollar Improves Early Friday Ahead of Fed Appearances, State Unemployment
US Dollar Improves Early Friday Ahead of Fed Appearances, State Unemployment
Mar 22, 2024
07:38 AM EDT, 03/22/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Friday, except for a decline versus the yen, ahead of a series of appearances by Federal Reserve officials that compensate for a lack of major US data. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to make opening remarks at a Fed Listens conference at...
US Congress scrambles to pass $1.2 trillion spending bill, midnight deadline looms
US Congress scrambles to pass $1.2 trillion spending bill, midnight deadline looms
Mar 22, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives and Democratic-majority Senate on Friday will scramble to beat a midnight government shutdown deadline by passing a $1.2 trillion bill keeping the government funded through September. If they succeed, it will end a more-than-six-month battle over the scope of Washington's spending for the fiscal year that began Oct. 1. If they...
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
Mar 22, 2024
(Reuters) - U.S. companies' purchases of domestic equities through more stock buybacks and corporate acquisitions will hit a six-year high of $625 billion this year, about as much as mutual funds and pension houses will offload, Goldman Sachs said. A surge in share buybacks and continued growth in cash mergers and acquisitions (M&A) will be the primary drivers of corporate...
Fed Chair Powell says pandemic has had lasting effects on economy
Fed Chair Powell says pandemic has had lasting effects on economy
Mar 22, 2024
(Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday opened a Fed Listens event on how Americans are experiencing the economy, saying the pandemic has had lasting effects and that to make good policy the U.S. central bank cannot rely only on macroeconomic data but needs to hear directly from people and businesses. He did not make any remarks about the...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved