The euro declined in European trading on Monday against a basket of global currencies, as part of a corrective pullback after Fridays sharp rally. The single currency gave up a two-week high versus the US dollar due to profit-taking and technical selling.
European inflation figures for July came in hotter than expected, reinforcing inflationary pressures on European Central Bank policymakers and reducing the likelihood of a rate cut in September.
Price Overview
EUR/USD fell by 0.35% to $1.1550, down from the opening price of $1.1589. The pair recorded a session high of $1.1597 the highest level since July 28.
On Friday, the euro surged 1.5% against the dollar, marking its second straight daily gain and its strongest one-day performance since April 10, as it continued to recover from a two-month low of $1.1400.
In addition to bargain buying at lower levels, Fridays gains were driven by better-than-expected eurozone inflation data and downbeat US labor market figures.
US Dollar
The US Dollar Index rose by 0.3% on Monday, attempting to recover from Fridays steep losses, reflecting renewed demand for the greenback against a basket of major currencies.
This rebound comes as markets await further confirmation regarding the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, particularly in light of ongoing remarks from Fed officials.
European Interest Rates
Eurozone consumer prices rose by 2.0% in July, beating market expectations of a 1.9% increase and matching the previous months 2.0% reading.
The data indicates persistent inflationary pressure on ECB policymakers.
According to Reuters sources, a clear majority of ECB members favored keeping interest rates unchanged at the upcoming September meeting for a second consecutive time.
Market pricing for a 25-basis-point ECB rate cut in September remains below 30%.
Investors will closely monitor upcoming eurozone data and ECB commentary to reassess those odds.