(Corrects forint trading range in paragraph 8)
PRAGUE, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Central Europe's currencies
held firm on Wednesday, as along with other global markets, they
weighed the odds of a super-sized U.S. Federal Reserve interest
rate cut later in the day.
A weaker dollar against the euro, central Europe's reference
currency, gave support to the region's currencies, as markets
waited to see if the Fed would kick off its easing cycle with a
cut of 50 basis points.
What it decides could influence central Europe's
policymakers that started their easing cycles over the last
year.
The Polish central bank has taken a long pause after initial
rate cuts a year ago and Romania's central bank made a slow
start.
But the Hungarian and Czech central banks have steadily cut
interest rates, although they are slowing the pace now. Both are
due to meet on policy next week.
ING said the Fed decision will have more of an impact for
Hungary.
"Our economists see a 25-bp rate cut as the baseline, which,
if the Fed is dovish, could promise more rate cuts in the
future, leaving the forint exposed," ING said in a note.
The forint ticked up less than 0.1% to 394.35 to
the euro, caught in the middle of the range of 390-399 in which
it has hovered since June. The Czech crown added 0.2%
to 25.06 per euro, gaining a second straight day as it inches
back toward the psychological 25.00 level.
Markets are betting on another 25-bp Czech rate cut after
the central bank slowed its pace of easing in August.
Czech central banker Jan Kubicek told Reuters this week he
favoured another quarter-point rate cut this month given soft
economic data, a slightly firmer currency, near-target inflation
and lower wage growth.
"For risk assets, including the crown, the Fed decision will
be a source of volatility and so we are counting on greater
fluctuations," CSOB said.
In Poland, the zloty was flat at 4.271 to the
euro. Romania's leu was also little changed at 4.975
per euro.
Stock markets drifted with Prague and Warsaw
indices easing a touch and Budapest little changed, in
line with steadied global equity markets waiting on the Fed.
CEE SNAPSHOT AT
MARKETS 1131
CET
CURRENCIES
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
trade close change in 2024
Czech 0
Hungary 00
Polish Romania Serbian 00
Note: calculated from 1800 CET
daily
change
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
close change in 2024
Prague 1569.45 1574.2 -0.31% +10.99
900 %
Budapes 72683.56 72685. -0.00% +19.90
t 08 %
Warsaw 6
Buchare 17498.88 17507. -0.05% +13.84
st 85 %
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republi
c
0
Poland
0
0
FORWARD RATE
AGREEMENTS
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interba
nk
Czech Hungary Poland Note: are for ask prices
FRA
quotes
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