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EM FX index down for sixth day
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Focus on Fed economic projection
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Lira hovers near record low
By Sruthi Shankar
March 19 (Reuters) - Most emerging market currencies and
stocks slipped on Tuesday as the dollar strengthened on
expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep borrowing
costs higher for longer.
The MSCI's EM stocks index fell 1% to a near
two-week low, with bourses in South Korea, Hong Kong
and India leading losses with a fall of
1% each.
Shanghai stocks shed 0.7% on worries over
the country's deepening property crisis and soft domestic
demand. China is widely expected to leave benchmark lending
rates unchanged on Wednesday.
The MSCI's EM currencies index fell for a
sixth day in a row as the dollar continued its recent climb.
Hotter-than-expected readings of the U.S. labour market and
inflation in recent weeks have led investors to rein in bets of
quick and large interest rate cuts from the Fed this year.
"This week's focus is on the Federal Reserve and the update
on the Summary of Economic Projections, which will show higher
growth and inflation for 2024," said Saxo Bank strategists.
"The question is whether such forecasts will be accompanied
by 75 bps of rate cuts this year. We see a higher probability of
U.S. Treasury yields ending the week higher, with 10-year yields
resuming their rise to 4.5%."
Rising U.S. interest rates tend to pull investors towards
healthier U.S. returns, in turn hurting emerging market assets.
The Turkish lira hovered near all-time lows at
32.34 per dollar ahead of a central bank meeting on Thursday.
Most economists polled by Reuters expect rates to be left
unchanged but see another hike later this year as inflation
remains elevated.
The South African rand touched a two-week low at
19.03 per dollar before easing to 18.97. Domestic inflation
data, due on Wednesday, is expected to show consumer prices
growing to 5.5% in February from 5.3% a month earlier.
Rating agency S&P Global Ratings revised Egypt's outlook to
"positive" citing "extensive external support program" while
affirming a B-/B credit rating.
The World Bank Group said on Monday it intends to provide
more than $6 billion of support over the coming three years to
support Egypt's faltering economy.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Armenia's PM says he must return disputed areas to
Azerbaijan or face war -TASS
** Turkish cenbank net reserves dropped some $1.2 bln last
week, bankers say
** Indonesia proposes injecting $3.7 bln into state firms in
2024, 2025, minister says
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