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Huge week of results, including Apple ( AAPL ), Microsoft ( MSFT ), Amazon ( AMZN )
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Monthly jobs data, PCE inflation report also on tap
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Tariff developments set to remain in market's focus
By Lewis Krauskopf
NEW YORK, April 25 (Reuters) - A packed upcoming week
for markets will test a U.S. stocks rebound, with investors
focused on a wave of corporate results led by Apple ( AAPL ) and
Microsoft ( MSFT ), while the prospect of global trade developments
threatens to cause volatility at any time.
The monthly U.S. employment report, data on first-quarter
U.S. economic growth and an inflation update add to the
potential market-sensitive events in the coming week, as
investors weigh whether the recent strength suggests the worst
of a tariff-induced equities tumble is over.
With the S&P 500 on pace for a solid week of gains,
the U.S. benchmark index has pared its recent slide by about
half but remains down some 10% from its February record high.
Sentiment for equities has been lifted this week by signals
of easing in the Trump administration's trade stance, including
possible de-escalation with China. But the situation remains
fluid and fresh developments on tariffs could undermine the
market gains.
"There seems to be some potential for compromise on the
tariff situation," which has supported the recent rally, said
Michael Mullaney, director of global markets research at Boston
Partners.
But stocks will remain sensitive to "the news flow that
day," Mullaney said. "If it's positive on tariffs, the market
goes up. If it's negative on tariffs, the market goes down."
Investors are bracing for more twists and turns on trade
after President Donald Trump this month paused many of the
heftiest import tariffs on other countries until July. Trump's
pullback came after his April 2 announcement of sweeping levies
set off severe stock volatility and rattled the bond market.
Tariff uncertainty will be a critical topic for upcoming
corporate reports.
About 180 S&P 500 companies representing over 40% of the
index's market value are set to post quarterly results in the
coming week, according to UBS. Chief among them are Apple ( AAPL )
, Microsoft ( MSFT ), Amazon ( AMZN ) and Meta Platforms ( META )
, four of the "Magnificent Seven" megacap tech and
growth companies whose shares have faltered in 2025 after
putting up massive gains the prior two years.
With over one-third of S&P 500 companies having reported,
profits are on pace to beat expectations for the period. S&P 500
earnings are on pace to have climbed 9.7% in the first quarter
from a year ago, up from an estimate of an 8% gain on April 1,
according to LSEG IBES.
"People were expecting the worst, and that typically happens
when markets retrench," said King Lip, chief strategist at
BakerAvenue Wealth Management in San Francisco. "But the numbers
really haven't been that bad."
Still, some companies have pointed to challenges ahead.
Consumer staples company Procter & Gamble ( PG ), soda and
snacks company PepsiCo ( PEP ) and medical equipment maker
Thermo Fisher all cut their annual profit forecasts.
Investors also will watch the extent to which the new global
trade regime is hitting economic data, with broad concerns the
new tariffs will drive up prices and slow growth.
Data in the coming week includes gross domestic product for
the first quarter, and the March reading of the personal
consumption expenditures price index, a key inflation reading.
The monthly U.S. jobs report, due on May 2, could provide
the biggest test for markets. The labor market has demonstrated
stability in recent months, and employment is expected to have
climbed by 135,000 jobs in April, according to a Reuters poll.
But doubts about the economic outlook are being fueled by
dour readings in consumer sentiment and other surveys, with
investors eager to see if such troubling "soft data" will
translate into weakness in reports seen as giving more concrete
evidence about the economy.
"If the consumer is going to be the engine of ongoing growth
in the U.S., it puts the burden of proof onto the jobs report,"
said Bob Savage, head of markets macro strategy at BNY.