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LatAm stocks up 0.54, FX up 0.42%
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Argentina's draft 2026 budget hikes social allocations
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Brazil's jobless rate falls in July, hits new record low
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Fed, Brazil start two-day rate-setting meeting
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Mexican stocks closed for Independence Day
(Updates with afternoon trading)
By Pranav Kashyap and Nikhil Sharma
Sept 16 (Reuters) -
Latin American assets firmed on Tuesday, with the local
currency index clinching another record milestone as traders
prepared for interest rate decisions from the U.S. Federal
Reserve and Brazil's central bank this week.
An index tracking the region's currencies
jumped 0.42% to a new high, marking its fifth
consecutive record-setting session, as it leveraged a weaker
dollar, which dropped to an over three-year low.
An index for Latin American equities also
rose 0.54%.
Argentine assets attempted a rebound, with Buenos Aires
stocks jumping over 2% after three straight days of
declines, while the peso remained steady. The
country's economy likely contracted in August due to higher
imports.
President Javier Milei on Monday
unveiled
a 2026 budget that pledged fiscal discipline but includes
increases in healthcare, education and pensions - an effort to
regain public confidence ahead of a high-stakes legislative
election following a setback in recent provincial elections.
"Our main takeaway from the announcement is the positive
shift in tone, with Milei conveying a more pragmatic approach
that could help broaden his base of support," said Trevor Yates,
senior investment analyst at Global X ETFs.
While his austerity measures, including deep spending cuts,
have sharply reduced triple-digit inflation, they have also
gutted public services and sparked near-daily protests in the
capital.
In the United States, the Federal Reserve's two-day
policy meeting is widely expected to conclude with a
25-basis-point cut on Wednesday, following signs of a weaker job
market.
Brazil's central bank also begins a two-day policy
meeting, with markets expecting it to hold the Selic rate at
15%, near a 20-year high. The restrictive policy, aimed at
cooling inflation, has started to weigh on growth, prompting
calls for rate cuts later this year.
The real extended its gains for a fifth consecutive
session, rising 0.4%, while Brazilian stocks also
advanced.
Fresh data showed the jobless rate fell for the fourth
consecutive month in July, reaching a record low, reflecting
labor market resilience despite tight monetary policy.
Brazil's benchmark interest rate, one of the highest in
Latin America, has continued to provide market players with
solid returns due to its differential over U.S. borrowing costs,
making the real a preferred destination for carry-trade flows.
Brazil's finance minister said interest rate cuts could
begin in the coming months. However, analysts noted that even if
Brazil resumes its easing cycle, the real would likely remain an
attractive option for carry trades.
"The real is doing well and has appreciated strongly and
inflation is on the right path. So there's going to be an
increasing focus on when the Central Bank of Brazil can move
forward," said Alejandro Cuadrado, global head of FX and LatAm
Strategy at BBVA.
"The Fed is probably going to open room for that," he
added.
The Hungarian forint has outperformed its
regional peers this year, supported by one of the highest
interest rates in Europe.
The Colombian peso rose 0.92% to a one-month high as
retail sales surged 17.9% in July on a year-on-year basis,
exceeding expectations, while the main stock index
fell 0.53%.
The Mexican stock market remained closed for Independence
Day, while the peso continued to trade, up 0.4% against the
dollar.
Elsewhere, the Zambian kwacha gained 0.6% to a
two-week high against the euro after the International Monetary
Fund's executive board approved a three-month extension of the
country's loan program.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Stock indexes
Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1340.6 0.89
MSCI LatAm 2531.89 0.54
Brazil Bovespa 144103.61 0.39
Mexico IPC - -
Chile IPSA 9065.86 -0.25
Argentina MerVal 1784380 2.04
Colombia COLCAP 1837.25 -0.53
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.2951 0.4
Mexico peso 18.2817 0.4
Chile peso 947.38 0.44
Colombia peso 3865.5 0.92
Peru sol 3.478 0.32
Argentina peso (interbank) 1,469.0 -0.07
Argentina peso (parallel) 1,445.0 0.69