*
Chile's consumer prices drop the most since 2023
*
Brazil's Haddad sees inflation within target by next year
*
Romanian central bank holds rates steady
*
J.P.Morgan downgrades EM currencies to "marketweight"
(Updates with afternoon trading levels)
By Ragini Mathur, Purvi Agarwal and Shashwat Chauhan
July 8 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies rose
in volatile trading on Tuesday as markets evaluated developments
in U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff negotiations and
anticipated additional trade deals ahead of the new deadline.
A day after imposing sharply higher tariffs on 14 trading
partners, Trump reiterated his threat of 10% tariffs on products
from Brazil, India, and other members of the BRICS group of
countries.
He also
announced
a 50% tariff on imported copper and indicated that
long-threatened levies on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals
would be implemented soon.
Earlier this week, Trump extended the deadline for
negotiations to August 1 from July 9, providing a crucial
three-week window for affected countries to finalize trade deals
with the United States and stirring market volatility.
"The tariff announcement was a reminder that markets are not
out of the woods. The White House has not really achieved their
goals on trade and that could be a continued source of
volatility," said Scott Helfstein, head of investment strategy
at Global X.
Asian currencies, including the South Korean won
and the Thai baht, recovered to strengthen
against the dollar on Tuesday, alongside South Africa's rand
.
Most Latin American currencies also advanced after
Monday's declines, with Brazil's real leading gains with
a 0.8% rise against the dollar.
Data from Brazil showed
retail sales volumes
unexpectedly fell in May from the previous month,
corroborating views about an economic slowdown.
Brazil's Finance Minister
Fernando Haddad
said he expects inflation to fall within the official
target range next year.
Chile's peso reversed earlier losses and was last
up 0.3%. Consumer prices in the Andean nation posted their first
monthly drop this year in June, marking the steepest decline
since late 2023 and fueling expectations of interest rate cuts
by the central bank this month.
In Colombia, the consumer price index rose 0.10% in June,
below analysts' forecasts, while the peso was last up
0.1%.
Mexico's currency also recovered from initial losses
to gain 0.3% against the dollar, though the local stock
benchmark fell 0.4%.
Analysts at J.P.Morgan revised their expectations on
emerging market currencies to "marketweight" from "overweight",
citing that "conditions are in place for a tactical retreat"
following the recent gains of EM currencies against the dollar.
Most emerging market currencies advanced against the
dollar, while the dollar index touched multi-month lows
amid a global shift away from U.S. assets.
An index tracking EM currencies was last
up more than 7% year-to-date, compared to a 10% decline in the
dollar benchmark.
MSCI's index tracking Latin American stocks
was flat, as losses in Mexico and Brazil
offset gains in Argentina and Chile.
In other emerging markets, Romania's central bank kept its
benchmark interest rate unchanged, as expected, while cautioning
that newly approved tax increases are likely to push annual
inflation significantly higher in the short term.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1231.1 0.4
MSCI LatAm 2350.45 -0.01
Brazil Bovespa 139045.1 -0.32
Mexico IPC 57181.36 -0.42
Argentina Merval 2122583.88 3.544
Chile IPSA 8321.25 0.78
Colombia COLCAP 1690.3 0.33
Brazil real 5.4444 0.78
Mexico peso 18.6038 0.3
Chile peso 940.28 0.26
Colombia peso 4042.5 0.09
Peru sol 3.545 0.51
Argentina peso 1254 0.80
(interbank)
Argentina peso (parallel) 1260 0.79