(Updated at 10:30 a.m. ET/ 1430 GMT)
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Mexico's peso hits 20 per dollar for the first time since
Aug. 5
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Markets still see chance of 50 bp Fed rate cut
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Latam FX index down 0.3%, stocks down 0.1%
By Shashwat Chauhan
Sept 5 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies perked
up against a softer dollar on Thursday, as bets of an outsized
interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month remained
firm, while Mexico's peso lagged on lingering concerns about a
judicial reform.
The dollar remained under pressure globally after data
showed U.S. private employers hired the fewest number of workers
in 3-1/2 years in August and data for the prior month was
revised lower, potentially hinting at a sharp labor market
slowdown.
"Tomorrow's payroll report could be softer than expected
given the slowdown in ADP estimates," said Jeffrey Roach, chief
economist at LPL Financial.
"If the payroll report surprises investors and comes in
weaker than expected, the likelihood of a 50 basis point cut
increases at the upcoming Fed meeting."
Due on Friday, the August report for U.S. nonfarm payrolls
could be key in gauging the size of potential rate cuts, given
the Fed's recent emphasis on labor market conditions.
Though market bets still favor a 25 basis point rate cut
from the U.S. central bank this month, traders see about a 40%
chance of a 50 bps cut, as per the CME FedWatch Tool.
Brazil's real led gains in the region, adding 0.4%,
while Colombia's peso also appreciated 0.2%.
Chile's peso added 0.4% after falling for the last
four sessions, while Peru's sol was down 0.5% in light
trading.
Also aiding gains were elevated commodity prices, as prices
of crude oil and copper, some of the region's top exports,
advanced.
Mexico's peso was an outlier, down 0.3% to 19.989,
briefly touching the 20-unit barrier for the first time in over
a month earlier in the day, as jitters persisted after the lower
house of Congress approved an overhaul of the country's
judiciary early on Wednesday that would usher in a new era of
elections for all judges.
The reform will be now be debated in the Senate next week,
and is expected to be enacted later in September, if passed.
A Reuters poll of FX strategists showed Brazil's real will
continue to be restrained by worries about the fiscal situation
in the near future despite an expected boost from a widely
anticipated first interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve
later this month.
MSCI's index for Latin American currencies
was down 0.3%, while a gauge for stocks slipped
0.1%.
Local bourses were broadly up, with heavyweight Brazil's
Bovespa up 0.1%.
HIGHLIGHTS
** World Bank, French Development Agency give Uganda aid of
over $600 mln
** Venezuela's oil exports climb to four-year high in August
** Brazil's auto production up, sales down in August
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Equities Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1076.55 0.28
MSCI LatAm 2223.8 -0.15
Brazil Bovespa 136274.5 0.12
Mexico IPC 52081.17 0.52
Chile IPSA 6391.72 0.04
Argentina Merval 1828842.6 1.777
4
Colombia COLCAP 1341.12 0.37
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.6179 0.39
Mexico peso 19.989 -0.32
Chile peso 939.4 0.35
Colombia peso 4172.15 0.16
Peru sol 3.7915 -0.54
Argentina peso (interbank) 953.5 0
Argentina peso (parallel) 1270 2.755905512