*
EM stocks up 0.4%, FX flat
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Romania's interest rate decision later in the day
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Romanian inflation inches lower in line with expectations
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US financial shield could be worth up to $20 billion,
Hungary's
Orban says
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South Africa mid-year budget review around 1200 GMT
By Nikhil Sharma
Nov 12 (Reuters) - Emerging market equities extended
their winning run on Wednesday, as hopes for an imminent end to
the U.S. government shutdown continued to burnish risk assets,
while investors awaited Romania's interest rate decision.
Members of the House of Representatives headed back to
Washington on Tuesday after a 53-day break for a vote that could
bring the longest U.S. government shutdown in history to a
close.
MSCI's index of emerging market stocks rose 0.4%
after two straight days of gains, mirroring moves in Asian
equities, also underpinned by hopes for an end to the shutdown.
"This is really about the removal of a level of uncertainty
that had been weighing on markets for about 40 days," said Fiona
Cincotta, senior market analyst at City Index.
"When we remove any element of uncertainty, then that's
considered a positive, and that sort of optimism is lifting risk
sentiment and boosting risk appetite, and we are seeing that
across the global markets."
A parallel gauge for EM currencies was
subdued, with most currencies from central-eastern Europe
trading in the red.
The usually quiet Romanian leu was down 0.1% ahead
of a rate decision later in the day, amid wider expectations
that the central bank will keep rates on hold at 6.50% in the
face of price pressures triggered by higher taxes and energy
prices.
Bucharest stocks edged up 0.4% to hit an all-time
high. Data showed annual inflation inched lower in October in
line with market expectations but remained near its highest
levels since mid-2023.
Moves in the Hungarian forint have been in focus
ever since Prime Minister Viktor Orban secured a temporary
reprieve from U.S. sanctions on Russian oil imports. Orban, who
faces an election next year, also struck an agreement with
Washington that could unlock about $20 billion worth of credit.
For the day, the currency fell 0.6%, set to extend its
losses from the previous day, after Hungary raised its budget
deficit targets to 5% for this year and next, with higher
spending ahead of the 2026 elections.
Budapest's blue-chip index climbed 1.2%, after
declining about 0.6% in the prior session. The Czech koruna
was largely flat, while Prague's main stock index
jumped 0.44% to hit an all-time high.
The Polish zloty fell 0.13% and the main stock
index was flat as investors speculated about the
central bank's next policy move. Central banker Henryk Wnorowski
suggested a pause on more rate cuts until the March inflation
outlook to assess the effects of earlier easing and to ensure
inflation remains within target.
The National Bank of Poland cut its benchmark rate by 25
basis points to 4.25% last week, citing a slowdown in inflation
and an improvement in its outlook.
Elsewhere in EM, the South African rand edged up
0.14% ahead of a mid-year review of public finances at around
1200 GMT amid wider expectations that Finance Minister Enoch
Godongwana will present a healthier fiscal picture than at the
main budget in May, thanks to stronger revenue collection.
Political unrest engulfed Ukraine after the government
suspended Justice Minister German Galushchenko, amid an
investigation into corruption in the energy sector.
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