(Updates for European morning trading)
By Samuel Indyk
LONDON, Aug 14 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields fell
slightly on Thursday, extending a drop from Wednesday as
investors priced in more easing from the U.S. Federal Reserve
after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged the central bank to
opt for a large interest rate cut.
In an interview on Bloomberg TV, U.S. President Donald
Trump's influential right-hand man on the economy said there was
"a good chance" the Fed lowers interest rates by 50 basis points
(bps) when it convenes next month.
Investors acted to fully price in a rate cut from the Fed in
September, with around a 5% chance of a larger 50-bp move. Money
market futures imply about a 50% chance that the European
Central Bank lowers borrowing costs again by the year's end.
The size and importance of the U.S. economy means
expectations about Fed rate cuts often heavily influence other
markets.
"We haven't had a major catalyst from the euro area so, more
broadly, moves have been driven by the U.S.," said Mohamad
Al-Saraf, FX & fixed income research associate at Danske Bank.
"In general, moves this week have been driven by the
better-than-feared U.S. inflation report and it now looks pretty
much a done deal that the Fed will cut next month. The question
is whether they go for 25 or 50 basis points."
Tuesday's U.S.
inflation report
was a mixed bag, with headline consumer prices rising
marginally but underlying measures showing signs of building
price pressures.
Germany's two-year yield, which is sensitive to
changes in monetary policy expectations, was down 1 bp at
1.926%. It fell 3.5 bps on Wednesday, its biggest daily drop
since August 1.
Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the
euro area, was down 2 bps at 2.66% after falling 6.5 bps on
Wednesday.
Italy's 10-year bond yield fell 2.5 bps to
3.46%, pushing the spread between Italian and German 10-year
yields to 78.2 bps, the tightest since at least
2011, according to LSEG data.
The yield gap between Italian and French 10-year yields
narrowed to about 14 bps, reflecting increasing
concerns about France's fiscal trajectory.
France unveiled a 2026 budget plan in July that included
almost 44 billion euros ($51.41 billion) of
cuts
, which will probably draw resistance from Socialist
lawmakers when parliament returns from recess next month.
Worries about France's debt sustainability have been
driving the narrower spread between French and Italian yields,
according to Danske Bank's Al-Saraf.
Investors were awaiting U.S. factory inflation and jobless
claims data due later on Thursday, as well as the Alaska summit
between Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday.
Analysts have said a ceasefire in Ukraine could support
riskier assets and weigh on government bond prices, lifting
yields.
Germany's 30-year yield, which touched an
11-year high of 3.309% on Tuesday, was down 1 bp at 3.222%.