LONDON, July 4 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields were
lower on Friday as the recovery in the bloc's bond markets
continued following the gilt-induced sell-off on Wednesday,
while focus was turning to U.S. President Donald Trump's July 9
tariff deadline.
Germany's 10-year benchmark bund yield was down
3 basis points (bps) at 2.549%, having risen to an almost
six-week high on Wednesday of 2.632% when Britain's gilt yields
jumped due to renewed fiscal sustainability concerns. Bond
yields move inversely with prices.
Britain's 10-year gilt yield was down 1 bp on
Friday at 4.539%, having risen as high as 4.681% on Wednesday.
Wednesday's sharp collapse in British government bond prices
was sparked by a U-turn on cuts to welfare spending and a
tearful appearance by finance minister Rachel Reeves in
parliament.
Euro zone bonds had slipped in tandem with their British
counterparts, led by those countries with their own shaky public
finances, such as France and Italy. Those bond markets were also
recovering on Friday.
France's 10-year yield was down 2 bps at 3.258%
while Italy's was down 2.5 bps at 3.456%.
The spread between Italian and German 10-year yields
stood at about 90 bps.
Markets were turning their attention to next week's tariff
deadline, with the 90-day pause that Trump activated following
the market chaos unleashed in April set to expire on July 9.
Germany's 10-year bund yield had its lowest monthly
trading range since 2021 in June, Commerzbank said earlier this
week, as calm returned to markets during the tariff pause.
"The market is waiting to see what happens with the
tariffs in the United States," Birgit Henseler, senior analyst
at DZ Bank, said.
Henseler added that there could be increased volatility
in the next week as details emerge about Trump's plan for import
tariffs with the United States' major trading partners.
Focus this week has also been on the European Central
Bank's annual forum in Sintra, Portugal, with policymakers
strongly hinting at a pause to the rate cutting cycle later this
month after 200 bps of easing in just over a year.
Futures are pricing in just 1.5 bps of ECB easing in
July, implying about a 5% chance of a rate cut. By December,
markets are pricing in about 28 bps of easing, implying just one
more rate-cut by the end of the year.
"Absent a catalyst like a further escalation in the
trade war ... a sharp front-end repricing is unlikely," Barclays
rates strategist Rohan Khanna said in a note.
Germany's two-year yield, which is sensitive
to changes in European Central Bank policy expectations, was
last down 3 bps at 1.809%, but remained well within its recent
narrow range.