MUMBAI, Dec 19 (Reuters) - Indian government bond yields
rose sharply on Thursday, with the benchmark bond yield hovering
around a key par level, after the U.S. Federal Reserve flagged a
slower pace of policy easing in 2025, citing sticky inflation
and a stable labour market.
The 10-year bond yield was at 6.7828% as of
9:45 a.m. IST, compared with the previous close of 6.7465%. The
yield had risen to 6.7867%, its highest since Nov. 29, earlier
in the day.
"As expected, there was a gap down in bond prices, and with
the benchmark bond at touching distance of par level, the
selloff may slow down," a trader with a state-run bank said,
referring to 6.79% coupon at which the bond was issued.
The trader did not, however, rule out a mild reversal in
uptrend of yields as the trading session progresses.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield crossed 4.50% mark, hitting its
highest level since end of May after the policy decision and
commentary from the Fed, which cut rates by 25 basis points as
widely expected.
The new projections show that officials expect the core
personal consumption expenditures price index to be stuck at
2.5% through 2025, significantly higher than the Fed's 2%
target.
The policymakers now expect only 50 basis points of rate cuts in
2025 and in 2026, according to the updated dot plot, down from
100 bps forecast in September. The odds of a pause in January
have jumped to 94%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Chair Jerome Powell said more reductions in borrowing costs
hinge on further progress in lowering stubbornly high inflation.
"As the world steps into 2025 with U.S. tariff policies and
its reciprocity ahead, we are of the view that it would hurt
growth more than anything else. Thereby further uncertainty in
policy guidance is not ruled out," said Siddharth Kothari, an
economist with Sunidhi Securities.
Locally, investors are waiting for debt supply and minutes
of the Reserve Bank of India's December meeting, both due on
Friday.
(Reporting by Dharamraj Dhutia; Editing by Varun H K)