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Morgan Stanley CIO favors 60/20/20 portfolio strategy with gold as inflation hedge
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Morgan Stanley CIO favors 60/20/20 portfolio strategy with gold as inflation hedge
Sep 16, 2025 2:47 PM

Sept 16 (Reuters) - A 60/20/20 portfolio strategy that

includes 20% gold is a more resilient inflation hedge at a time

when U.S. equities are offering historically low upside over

Treasuries and investors are demanding higher yields for

long-term bonds, Morgan Stanley ( MS ) Chief Investment Officer

Mike Wilson said on Tuesday.

A 60/40 portfolio, which typically has 60% of its holdings

in stocks and the remaining 40% in fixed income, counts on moves

in the two asset classes to offset one another, with stocks

strengthening amid economic optimism and bonds rising during

turbulent times.

Wilson, however, favors a 60% allocation to equities and 20%

each to fixed income and gold. Within bond markets, the

prominent Wall Street bear prefers shorter-duration Treasuries

of five years over the 10-year notes to capture rolling returns

along the yield curve.

"Gold is now the anti-fragile asset to own, rather than

Treasuries. High-quality equities and gold are the best hedges,"

Wilson told the Reuters Global Markets Forum.

The strength of a dual hedge lies in the contrast: both

hedge inflation, but equities are growth-linked risk-on bets,

while gold rallies as a safe-haven when real rates fall in

downturns.

U.S. stocks have rebounded from near bear-market levels

following President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff

announcement on April 2, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Composite hitting several new highs in September - a

historically weak month for equities.

Spot gold prices, meanwhile, surged past $3,700 an ounce to

a record high on Tuesday, buoyed by mounting expectations of a

rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week.

"The lows in April will prove to be great for many stocks.

The moves we have seen since then in some of the most beaten

down areas (have) already been remarkable," Wilson said.

"Alpha is making a comeback since Liberation Day," he added.

Alpha is the excess return over a benchmark to describe an

investment strategy's ability to beat the market.

Meanwhile, fund managers warned that Treasuries are losing

some appeal as skepticism over the Fed's independence is

beginning to weigh on long-end yields.

(Join GMF, a chat room hosted on LSEG Messenger: https://lseg.group/3KFHrhe)

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