(fixes typo)
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New England leans heavily on oil-fired power plants
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PJM generation outages surge
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Spot electricity prices rise to several hundred dollars
per MWH
By Tim McLaughlin
BOSTON, Jan 25 (Reuters) -
Power plant outages surged along the eastern United States
on Sunday as constricted natural gas supplies and frigid
temperatures cut the electricity output of the region's
generation fleet.
The PJM Interconnection, the largest U.S. regional grid
that serves 67 million people in the East and mid-Atlantic,
reported nearly 21 gigawatts of generation outages, with most of
that capacity being forced offline. Those outages represented
about 16% of PJM's Sunday afternoon demand of 127.4 GW.
Without native supplies of natural gas, the eastern
seaboard relies on a pipeline network that is historically
constricted during extended bouts of frigid weather, said Pieter
Mul, a grid expert and associate partner at PA Consulting's
energy and utilities practice.
PJM's outages are higher than the grid planned, Mul added,
saying there is less flexibility in the PJM system than a few
years ago because of power plant retirements and a surge in
demand from data centers.
PJM's territory also is hurt by bottlenecks in its
transmission system of high-voltage power lines, hindering the
the transfer from west to east. For example, cheap power in
Illinois on Sunday - sometimes dipping into negative prices
because of abundant wind energy - could not be moved to help out
other section of PJM.
As snow and sleet hit the major cities of Boston, New York,
Philadelphia and Washington DC, the power grid also lost access
to solar power from an increase in cloud cover.
Meanwhile, power prices in PJM and the electric grids for
New York and New England surged between $400 and $700 per MWh
Sunday afternoon, grid operators reported. The increases
reflected demand that continues to top grid operator forecasts.
ISO New England, which serves a six-state region that
includes Boston and Hartford, reported about 20.2 gigawatts of
demand at 1:45 p.m. EDT, or greater than a project peak load of
19.5 GW expected later in the day.
With constricted natural gas access, nearly 40% of the New
England grid's output came from oil-fired power plants. Natural
gas, usually the grid's main source of fuel, accounted for just
30% of the grid's fuel source for power plants.
But as Mul noted, New England supply of diesel fuel oil can
be depleted and not easily re-supplied during hazardous winter
conditions. ISO New England's surplus capacity dropped to about
1.1 GW, down from earlier estimates of several gigawatts.
Earlier on Sunday, ISO New England issued an "abnormal
conditions" alert asking power plant operators not to schedule
any maintenance or anything else that would affect the grid's
reliability.
Outside of Washington D.C., real-time wholesale electricity
prices topped $1,800 per MWh early Sunday in Dominion Energy's ( D )
Virginia territory, up from $200 per MWh on Saturday morning.
Virginia houses the biggest cluster of data centers in the
world, which are used to power things like artificial
intelligence and have been responsible for rising power demand
and prices in swaths of the country.
The demand spike began late Saturday night, according to
data from PJM as Winter Storm Fern swept across parts of the
country.
PJM predicts an all-time winter demand record on Tuesday,
partly due to data center electricity needs. Dominion has said
extended frigid temperatures this week, along with heavy snow,
have the potential to be one of the largest winter events to
affect the utility's operations.
PJM predicts demand at 147.2 gigawatts, which would beat the
current record winter electricity demand of 143.7 GW set in
January 2025.
Spot wholesale electricity prices across the U.S. have been
elevated throughout the weekend as regional grids strain to meet
surging demand. When demand is higher than the forecasts,
utilities can be forced to pay elevated spot prices for
electricity to meet the demands of their residential and
business customers.
Regional grids feed their power into the local distribution
lines that bring electricity to homes and businesses. Those
local power lines are showing disruptions, with nearly 1 million
customers without power on Sunday, according to PowerOutage.us,
with more than 300,000 in Tennessee and more than 100,000 each
in Mississippi, Texas and Louisiana. Other states affected
included Kentucky, Georgia, Virginia and Alabama.