NEW YORK, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Making sense of the forces
driving global markets
By Alden Bentley, Editor in Charge, Americas Finance and Markets
Jamie is enjoying some well-deserved time-off, but the
Reuters markets team will still keep you up to date on what
markets were focused on today and why they took a breather. I'd
love to hear from you so please feel free to reach out at
Today's Key Reads
* U.S. judge blocks Trump's plan to lay off
thousands of
government workers
* Exclusive-Fed's Miran says he is not focused on
asset
price boom in push for lower rates
* Bank of Japan must tread carefully in normalizing
policy, central bank official says
* Wall Street drops as Zions sparks worries about
regional
banks
Today's Key Market Moves
* On Wall Street the S&P 500 was down about 1% in
late
afternoon trade and the Nasdaq was down 0.85%
* U.S. Treasury yields fell below 4%,
ending 7.4 basis points lower at 3.9707%
* The dollar index fell 0.35% and dollar/yen fell
0.46%
* U.S. crude oil fell 1.29% to $57.51 a barrel
* Gold bullion rose 2.03% to $4,292.79 an ounce
Today's Key Talking Points
Regionals spoil the banking party
Tumbling financial stocks stole the punchbowl from the S&P's
cautious recovery. Zions Bancorp disclosed a $50
million third-quarter loss on souring California loans, which
was enough to sap the remaining bullishness from strong earnings
reports from six of the nation's largest banks on Tuesday and
Wednesday. The S&P 500 Banks index fell 3.5%, more than
reversing a 1.2% gain the previous session. The KBW regional
bank index fell 7%.
Meanwhile, optimism about artificial intelligence was not
sufficient to hold the market together. An early rally by
chipmakers buoyed things after Taiwan's TSMC 2330.TW, the
world's largest maker of advanced semiconductors, raised its
full-year revenue forecast on a bullish outlook for AI spending.
The market was fragile given the recent downward spiral in
U.S.-China trade relations, even as the big banks provided
hopeful signs of economic resilience, at a time when economic
data, good or bad, is in short supply due to the ongoing
government shutdown.
Greenback in the red
The U.S. dollar logged its third consecutive down session
against major currencies including the euro, yen and Swiss franc
amid U.S.-China tensions. China accused the U.S. of stoking
panic over its rare earth controls and said Treasury Secretary
Scott Bessent had made "grossly distorted" remarks about a top
Chinese trade negotiator, rejecting a White House call to roll
back the curbs.
Dollar/yen extended its loss after U.S. midday after Seiichi
Shimizu, the Bank of Japan's assistant governor, said the
central bank must be careful when normalizing monetary policy
due to uncertainty about how the economy would react to a new
environment of positive interest rates. Fed Governor Christopher
Waller said he supported an additional interest rate cut in
October due to mixed readings on the state of the job market.
A parade of Fed speakers this week, including Chair Jerome
Powell, did not dampen conviction that the Fed policy meeting at
the end of the month will end with another rate cut. The
blackout period starts Saturday and the last speaker before
things go quiet is St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem on
Friday.
Stars aligned for gold
Gold hit a record high for the fourth straight session. The
venerated safe-haven metal has gained over 60% year-to-date,
driven by geopolitical tensions, aggressive rate-cut bets,
central bank buying, de-dollarization and robust ETF inflows.
What could move markets tomorrow?
* No major U.S. corporate earnings or economic data
* St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem speaks
Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not
reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust
Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom
from bias.
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