NEW YORK, Jan 29 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields fell
before the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates
steady at the conclusion of its two-day meeting later on
Wednesday, with investors focused on any clues when a rate cut
is likely.
Stronger economic growth and uncertainty over the impact of
policies including tariffs that are expected to be implemented
by the Trump administration have led traders to pare
expectations on how many more times the U.S. central bank will
cut rates.
Fed funds futures traders see the next rate cut as likely in
May, but not fully priced in until June, with 50 basis points of
cuts in total expected by year end.
With Wednesday's meeting unlikely to offer many surprises,
Fed Chair Jerome Powell may discuss topics including when the
Fed will wind down its quantitative tightening program, said
Thomas Simons, chief U.S. economist at Jefferies in New York.
In QT the Fed is letting bonds roll off its balance sheet
without replacement.
Powell is also expected to face questions on how Trump's
policies will impact the Fed's rate decisions, but he may be
unlikely to offer any details when the outcome is highly
speculative.
Meanwhile data on Thursday showed that the U.S. trade
deficit in goods widened sharply in December, likely as
businesses front-loaded imports in anticipation of broad tariffs
from Trump's new administration.
That has raised speculation that gross domestic product data
for the fourth quarter due on Thursday could be weaker than
previously thought, said Simons, adding that "there's a lot of
people marking down their expectations."
Still, Simons noted that large imports should also raise
inventories, which may have an offsetting impact on the GDP
data.
Two-year Treasury yields were last down 0.6 basis
points on the day at 4.199%.
Benchmark 10-year yields fell 2.7 basis points to
4.522%.
The yield curve between two-year and 10-year yields
flattened by around two basis points to 32.4
basis points.