(Updates with latest market activity throughout)
By Matt Tracy
WASHINGTON, March 27 - U.S. Treasury yields rose on
Friday as uncertainty persisted around the Iran war and elevated
energy prices.
The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes ticked
up and was last up 2.8 basis points at 4.444%. Yields had
earlier reached as high as 4.482%, their highest since July.
Yields on 30-year Treasury bonds also rose on Friday
and at one point were just shy of 5%. They were last up 4.9 bps
at 4.985%.
The selloff in Treasuries comes as energy prices remained
elevated despite U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday
extending a pause on energy infrastructure strikes against Iran.
The Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of global energy
supply flows, has remained closed throughout the war. Options
markets have bet that Brent crude will reach an all-time high of
over $150 per barrel by the end of April.
Elevated oil prices have raised concerns of persistent
inflation, with U.S. rate futures beginning to price in the
possibility of an interest-rate hike from the Federal Reserve
later this year.
Markets last priced in a 95.9% chance of no hike at the Fed's
April meeting and a 22.6% chance of a 25 bp hike by the end of
the year.
Two-year U.S. Treasury yields, a key indicator of
Federal Reserve interest-rate expectations, were last down 6.6
basis points at 3.918%. They earlier climbed to 4.027%, their
highest since June.
"The lingering threat of inflation is what is on investors'
minds," said Sean Simko, head of fixed-income portfolio
management at SEI Investments.
"The longer the Iran conflict continues and carries on, the
higher the probability of increased inflation and the
expectation for higher yields," he said.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, seen as an indicator of economic
expectations, was last at 52.4 basis points.