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Futures up: Dow 0.23%, S&P 500 0.17%, Nasdaq 0.23%
Aug 13 (Reuters) - Futures tracking the S&P 500 and the
Nasdaq indexes were pinned at record highs on Wednesday, buoyed
by increasing confidence that the Federal Reserve could restart
its monetary policy easing cycle next month.
Signs that U.S. taxes on imports have not fully filtered
into headline consumer prices sparked a relief rally on Wall
Street in the previous session, with the benchmark S&P 500
marking its first record high close in two weeks.
Despite core inflation marking its biggest jump since the
start of the year, investors factored in recent weakness in the
job market and a shake-up at the Federal Reserve as they leaned
in favor of a potential dovish move by the central bank in
September.
Interest rate futures now reflect a 98% chance of a 25 basis
points interest rate cut, according to data compiled by LSEG,
compared with 88.8% on Tuesday. The central bank last lowered
borrowing costs in December.
"The U.S. inflation reading was in line with market
expectations, and the downside risks in the labor market are
likely to outweigh inflation concerns," said Mark Haefele, chief
investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
"Our base case remains that the Fed will resume rate cuts at
the September meeting and continue cutting for a total of 100
bps."
At 5:35 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 104 points, or
0.23%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 11.5 points, or 0.17% and
Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 54.25 points, or 0.23%.
The CBOE volatility index, popularly referred to as
Wall Street's fear gauge, dropped to 14.55 - its lowest since
January.
Rate-sensitive banking stocks such as Bank of America ( BAC )
and Citigroup ( C/PN ) were marginally higher in premarket
trading after the broader sector logged its biggest
daily rise in three months on Tuesday.
Analysts said a steepening yield curve following the
inflation report could help bank earnings as lenders could
borrow cheap and lend at a higher rate.
Nomura was the first among brokerages to bring forward its
easing forecast after the data and now expects the Fed to ease
interest rates by 25 basis points in September.
Later in the day, investors will weigh in on the remarks of
a number of policymakers, especially Chicago Fed President
Austan Goolsbee - a Federal Open Market Committee voting member
this year.
Earnings are also in focus. CoreWeave ( CRWV ), which is
backed by Nvidia ( NVDA ), lost 9.2% after the AI data center
operator reported a bigger-than-expected net loss.
Investors were also keeping an eye on developments on the
China revenue-sharing deal the U.S. government signed with chip
companies such as Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ) that
the White House said could be expanded to other companies in the
sector.
Venture Global ( VG ) gained 9.3% after the LNG major won a
legal battle against Shell over its failure to deliver
liquefied natural gas under long-term contracts starting in
2023.
Crude prices traded around $60 per barrel ahead of a virtual
meeting between Donald Trump and European leaders on the
Russo-Ukraine conflict, two days before the U.S. president meets
Russian President Vladimir Putin.