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Futures up: Dow 0.30%, S&P 500 0.24%, Nasdaq 0.31%
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Traders price in 97% chance of 25 bps Fed rate cut in
September
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CBOE volatility index hits lowest level since January
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CoreWeave ( CRWV ) falls after larger-than-expected Q2 net loss
(Updates before markets open)
By Johann M Cherian and Sanchayaita Roy
Aug 13 (Reuters) -
The benchmark S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were on track to open
at record highs on Wednesday, buoyed by increasing confidence
that the Federal Reserve could restart its monetary policy
easing cycle next month.
Signs that U.S. taxes on imports have not fully filtered
into headline consumer prices sparked a relief rally on Wall
Street in the previous session, with the benchmark S&P 500
marking its first record high close in two weeks.
Despite core inflation marking its biggest jump since the
start of the year, investors factored in recent weakness in the
job market and a shake-up at the Federal Reserve as they leaned
in favor of a potential dovish move by the central bank in
September.
Interest rate futures now reflect a 97.3% chance of a 25
basis points interest rate cut, according to data compiled by
LSEG, compared with 88.8% on Tuesday. The central bank last
lowered borrowing costs in December.
"A benign CPI report, coming on the heels of weak
non-farm payrolls, has strengthened the case for a September Fed
cut," said Nikos Tzabouras, senior market analyst at Tradu.com.
"However, market euphoria could be challenged as
stagflation risks persist, potentially eroding consumption and
hurting advertising - a key revenue stream for many tech
giants."
At 8:34 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 132 points, or
0.30%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 15.25 points, or 0.24%
and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 73.25 points, or 0.31%.
The CBOE volatility index, popularly referred to as
Wall Street's fear gauge, dropped to 14.46 - its lowest since
January.
Rate-sensitive banking stocks such as Bank of America ( BAC )
and Citigroup ( C/PN ) were marginally higher in premarket
trading after the broader sector logged its biggest
daily rise in three months on Tuesday.
Analysts said a steepening yield curve following the
inflation report could help bank earnings as lenders could
borrow cheap and lend at a higher rate.
Later in the day, investors will scrutinize remarks of a
number of policymakers, especially Chicago Fed President Austan
Goolsbee - a Federal Open Market Committee voting member this
year.
Earnings are also in focus. CoreWeave ( CRWV ), which is
backed by Nvidia ( NVDA ), lost 9.6% after the AI data center
operator reported a bigger-than-expected quarterly net loss.
Eyes are also on developments surrounding the China
revenue-sharing deal the U.S. government signed with chipmakers
like Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ), which the White
House said
could be expanded
to others in the sector.
Eli Lilly ( LLY ) rose 1.2% after the drugmaker
launched
the easy-to-use injector pen of its blockbuster
weight-loss drug, Mounjaro, in India.
Venture Global ( VG ) gained 12.6% after the LNG major won a
legal battle against Shell over its failure to deliver
liquefied natural gas under long-term contracts starting in
2023.
Crude prices traded around $60 per barrel ahead of a virtual
meeting between Donald Trump and European leaders on the
Russo-Ukraine conflict, two days before the U.S. president meets
Russian President Vladimir Putin.