financetom
Politics
financetom
/
Politics
/
Breaking the deadlock over Brexit: Is Britain heading for an election?
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Breaking the deadlock over Brexit: Is Britain heading for an election?
Apr 1, 2019 4:26 AM

With Britain's parliament deadlocked over the way forward on Brexit, speculation is growing that Prime Minister Theresa May could call a snap election to try and break the impasse.

Last week, after her Brexit deal was rejected by parliament for a third time, May's comment that she feared "we are reaching the limits of this process in this House", was seen by many as a hint she could be moving towards an election.

The Sunday Times reported her media chief, Robbie Gibb, and her political aide Stephen Parkinson were pushing for an election.

But the deputy chair of her Conservatives, James Cleverly said on Sunday the party was not planning for an election, while justice minister David Gauke warned it would not solve the issue over the way forward on Brexit.

In 2017, May lost her party's majority in parliament in an election she did not need to call. It has since been reliant on the support of Northern Ireland's Democratic Unionist Party, which has voted against her Brexit deal all three times.

HOW CAN AN ELECTION BE CALLED?

Britain's next national election is not due to be held until 2022, but there are two ways an earlier vote can be called:

1) Two-thirds of parliament's 650 lawmakers would have to vote in favour of holding an election.

2) If a motion of no confidence in the government is passed by a simple majority of lawmakers and no party can succeed in winning the confidence of the House of Commons over the next 14-days, an election is triggered.

Many of May's Conservatives oppose the idea of an election. If she cannot persuade enough of her party to support an election, May could be forced to back a no-confidence vote in her own government in order to try to trigger one.

WHO WOULD LEAD THE CONSERVATIVES INTO AN ELECTION?

Last week, in a bid to win Conservative lawmakers over to her deal, May promised to step down before the next phase of Brexit negotiations if her deal was approved by parliament. She has previously said she would not contest the 2022 election.

May's deal was rejected for a third time on Friday. Even if she were to agree to go sooner, a Conservative leadership contest is likely to take weeks at a minimum.

On Sunday, Conservative deputy chairman James Cleverly told Sky News it was "the inevitable possibility" that May could have to lead the party in a snap election if one were held.

WHAT WOULD THE CONSERVATIVES' POSITION BE ON BREXIT?

One of the biggest difficulties about an election would be the question of what the Conservative Party's election manifesto would say on Brexit.

The party is deeply divided on the issue. Half of May's lawmakers voted in favour of a 'no deal' Brexit when parliament voted on alternative Brexit options last week, while 34 supported seeking a customs union with the EU and eight backed a confirmatory public vote on any deal.

Many lawmakers are likely to be unhappy standing on a manifesto which pledged to implement May's deal. More than 100 Conservative lawmakers opposed the deal when it was first voted on in January, 75 voted against it at the second try and 34 at the third attempt on Friday.

WHAT DO THE OPINION POLLS SAY?

A poll by Opinium published on Sunday put May's Conservatives and the opposition Labour Party level on 35 percentage points each.

A separate poll by Deltapoll in the Mail on Sunday gave Labour 41 percent, a lead of five percentage points over the Conservatives, who were on 36 percent.

HOW QUICKLY COULD AN ELECTION BE HELD?

Britain is due to leave the EU on April 12 unless it sets out an alternative way forward on Brexit. The government would need to seek a longer delay to the Article 50 negotiating period in order to hold a national election.

It is likely the EU would agree to this, although it is not guaranteed. May has said any longer delay would mean Britain taking place in European Parliament elections.

According to a possible timetable set out by the Institute for Government, an election could be held as soon as mid-late May. If is triggered by a no confidence vote, it would be slightly later due to the 14-day period.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
ED raids AAP MLA Kulwant Singh, other locations in drugs probe case
ED raids AAP MLA Kulwant Singh, other locations in drugs probe case
Oct 31, 2023
Searches were underway in Mohali, Amritsar and Ludhiana. The ED action is being undertaken under the provisions of the Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA).
Delhi liquor policy case: ED summons Arvind Kejriwal for questioning on Nov 2
Delhi liquor policy case: ED summons Arvind Kejriwal for questioning on Nov 2
Oct 30, 2023
The Enforcement Directorate (ED) has summoned Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal for questioning in connection with the ongoing investigation into the city's liquor policy. Kejriwal is scheduled to appear before the agency on Thursday, November 2, 2023.
Cannot regulate political alliances on use of INDIA acronym, says EC
Cannot regulate political alliances on use of INDIA acronym, says EC
Oct 31, 2023
The Election Commission does not have any legal authority to regulate "political alliances", the poll panel has told the Delhi High Court in response to a petition challenging the use of the acronym INDIA by a coalition of 26 political parties. The Election Commission (EC), in its reply filed in the case, said it has the power to conduct elections and register entities as a political party but "political alliances" are not recognised as "regulated entities" under the Representation of the People Act or the Indian Constitution.
UP govt orders probe into ex-BJP MP's son's death at Sanjay Gandhi PGIMS in Lucknow
UP govt orders probe into ex-BJP MP's son's death at Sanjay Gandhi PGIMS in Lucknow
Oct 31, 2023
Prakash Mishra, 40, was admitted to the hospital Saturday with some kidney ailment. He was rushed to the hospital's emergency facility by his father, former BJP MP from Banda Bhairon Prasad Mishra. After his son died, the Mishra sat on a 'dharna' outside the institute, drawing the attention of the authorities.
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved