financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Asia shares dragged by Wall St dive, bonds bullish
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Asia shares dragged by Wall St dive, bonds bullish
Sep 8, 2024 6:22 PM

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian share markets slid on Monday after worries about a possible U.S. economic downturn slugged Wall Street, while dragging bond yields and commodity prices lower as investors avoided risk assets for safer harbours.

Japan's Nikkei bore the brunt of the early selling as a stronger yen pressured exporters, losing 2.4% on top of a near 6% slide last week.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped 0.6%, after losing 2.25% last week.

S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were both a fraction lower, after Friday's slide.

Fed fund futures were little changed as investors wondered whether the mixed U.S. August payrolls report would be enough to tip the Federal Reserve into cutting rates by an outsized 50 basis points when it meets next week.

So far, markets imply only a 29% chance of a large cut, in part due to comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President John Williams on Friday, though Waller did leave open the option of aggressive easing.

"Our read of the data is that the labour market continues to cool, but we see no sign of the kind of rapid deterioration in conditions that would call for a 50bp rate cut," Barclays economist Christian Keller said.

"Importantly, we also see no indication of any appetite for this in Fed communications," he added. "We retain our call for the Fed to begin its cycle with a 25bp cut, followed by two more 25bp at the remaining two meetings this year, and a total of 75bp of cuts next year."

Investors are considerably more dovish and have priced in 115 basis points of easing by Christmas and another 127 basis points for 2025.

Data on August U.S. consumer prices on Wednesday should underline the case for a cut, if not the size, with headline inflation seen slowing to 2.6% from 2.9%.

ECB TO EASE

Markets are also fully priced for a quarter-point cut from the European Central Bank on Thursday, but are less sure on whether it will ease in both October and December.

"What matters will be guidance beyond September, where there's strong pressure on both sides," analysts at TD Securities noted in a note.

"Wage growth and services inflation remain strong, emboldening the hawks, while growth indicators are flagging softer, emboldening the doves," they added. "Quarterly cuts are likely more consistent with the new projections."

The prospect of global policy easing boosted bonds, with 10-year Treasury yields hitting 15-month lows and two-year yields the lowest since March 2023.

The 10-year was last at 3.734% and the two at 3.661%, leaving the curve near its steepest since mid-2022.

The drop in yields encouraged a further unwinding of yen carry trades which saw the dollar sink as deep as 141.75 yen on Friday before steadying at 142.41 early on Monday.

The euro held at $1.1090, having briefly been as high as $1.1155 on Friday. [USD/]

Data on consumer prices (CPI) from China due later Monday are expected to show the Asian giant remains a force for disinflation, with producer prices seen falling an annual 1.4% in August.

The CPI is forecast to edge up to 0.7% for the year, from 0.5%, mainly due to rising food prices.

Figures on China's trade account due Tuesday are expected to show a slowdown in both export and import growth.

Also on Tuesday, Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump debate for the first time ahead of the presidential election on Nov. 5.

In commodity markets, the slide in bond yields kept gold restrained at $2,496 an ounce and short of its recent all-time top of $2.531. [GOL/]

Oil prices found some support after suffering their biggest weekly fall in 11 months last week amid persistent concerns about global demand. [O/R]

Brent added 57 cents to $71.63 a barrel, while U.S. crude firmed 60 cents to $68.27 per barrel.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
MORNING BID ASIA-Fragile FX, tech swoon cloud sentiment
MORNING BID ASIA-Fragile FX, tech swoon cloud sentiment
Apr 21, 2024
April 22 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. Asian markets on Monday will be hoping to bounce back from one of the most bruising weeks this year, but that won't be easy given the hawkish tone of recent Fed comments, heightened Middle East tensions and deepening weakness in tech stocks. Wall Street fell sharply on...
GLOBAL MARKETS-Nasdaq tumbles, Treasuries dip amid earnings, geopolitical crosscurrents
GLOBAL MARKETS-Nasdaq tumbles, Treasuries dip amid earnings, geopolitical crosscurrents
Apr 19, 2024
(Updates to 16:04 EDT) By Stephen Culp NEW YORK, April 19 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 closed sharply lower on Friday and Treasury yields dipped as investors juggled lackluster earnings, uncertainties surrounding central bank policy and geopolitical strife. Gold and crude oil prices advanced as market participants kept an uneasy eye on unfolding turmoil in the Middle...
CANADA STOCKS-TSX pares weekly decline as interest rate sensitive shares gain
CANADA STOCKS-TSX pares weekly decline as interest rate sensitive shares gain
Apr 19, 2024
* TSX ends up 0.5% at 21,807.37 * For the week, the index falls 0.4% * Communications sector gains 0.6% * Financials add 0.7% (Updates at market close) By Fergal Smith April 19 (Reuters) - Canada's main stock index edged higher on Friday as energy and interest rate sensitive shares notched gains, with the index outperforming Wall Street and clawing...
EMERGING MARKETS-Latam markets steady as geopolitical fears calm; EM stocks set for worst week since June
EMERGING MARKETS-Latam markets steady as geopolitical fears calm; EM stocks set for worst week since June
Apr 19, 2024
* Chile cenbank to cut interest rate by 50bps in May: poll * Mexican inflation coming from abroad -finance official * Mexican peso recovers from 5% plunge * Latam FX up 0.6%, stocks add 1.1% (Updated at 3:45pm ET/1945 GMT) By Bansari Mayur Kamdar April 19 (Reuters) - Latin American stocks and currencies steadied on Friday, recovering from early losses...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved