By Anita Komuves
BUDAPEST, June 21 (Reuters) - The Czech crown touched a
fresh six-week low on Friday as markets feared the Czech central
bank might maintain its rate-cutting pace next week, while a
strengthening dollar and a risk-averse mood pressured currencies
in central Europe.
The forint traded 0.24% weaker versus the euro at
397.65, hovering around three-month lows.
"The forint is just sitting on the train, it is not specific
to Hungary, the strong dollar is affecting the entire region,"
an FX trader in Budapest said.
"This is why the (Hungarian) central bank should have sent a
stronger message and ruled out any more rate cuts this year,"
the trader added.
Hungary's central bank made the smallest rate cut to date in
its 14-month easing cycle on Tuesday, but did not rule out the
scope for more rate cuts in the second half of this year.
A second trader said that market participants were also
"super nervous" about the snap election in France scheduled for
June 30, another geopolitical uncertainty, which leads to
investors turning away from riskier currencies.
"This is why currencies in central Europe cannot calm down,"
she said.
The Czech crown traded 0.08% weaker at 24.93 per
euro after touching a six-week low of 24.97.
Markets have been betting the Czech central bank will opt
for a smaller 25-basis-point rate cut at a meeting next week,
following three straight 50-bp moves.
But central banker comments have showed that a sharper cut
was still an option next week.
Some analysts said a weaker crown might tip policymakers
toward a smaller cut next week.
We "expect a move closer to 25.00, which in effect could be
the end for the dovish CNB and offer one more reason to cut
rates by 25bp rather than 50bp," ING wrote in a note.
The Polish zloty slid 0.08% to 4.333 per euro.
"After Thursday's session, we do not see any new factors on
the horizon that would support further strengthening of the PLN
in the short term," said PKO Bank, Poland's biggest lender.
"We assume that EUR/PLN will end the week in the zone of
4.32-4.35, with an asymmetric risk of the exchange rate
approaching the upper limit of this range."
Stocks in the region were mixed, with Warsaw's blue chip
index easing 0.3%, while Budapest added 0.14%.
CEE SNAPSH AT
MARKETS OT 1055
CET
CURREN
CIES
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
trade close change in
2024
Czech 0 0
Hungary 00 00
Polish %
Romania Serbian 00 00 % %
Note: calculated from 1800
daily CET
change
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
close change in
2024
Prague 1535.6 1537.9 -0.15% +8.60
8 600 %
Budapes 70440. 70327. +0.16 +16.2
t 18 34 % 0%
Warsaw 2493.9 2497.8 -0.16% +6.44
4 2 %
Buchare 18109. 18042. +0.37 +17.8
st 01 59 % 1%
Spread Daily
vs change
Bund in
Czech spread
Republi
c
ps
ps
ps
Poland
0 ps
0 ps
0 ps
FORWARD
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interb
ank
Czech 4.58 4.21 4.02 5.04
Rep Hungary 7.18 6.94 6.70 6.87
Poland 5.81 5.65 5.38 5.85
Note: are for ask
FRA prices
quotes
*****************************************
*********************
(Additional reporting by Alan Charlish in Warsaw and Jason
Hovet in Prague; Editing by Shinjini Ganguli)