By Krisztina Than
BUDAPEST, Oct 24 (Reuters) - Central European currencies
mostly traded slightly firmer on Thursday after a selloff in the
previous session driven by jitters about the upcoming U.S.
presidential election.
The dollar got a boost as investors no longer expect an
outsized 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve, a
view that is reflected in rising Treasury yields.
The dollar was also supported by anticipation that Donald
Trump could win a second term as U.S. president, as his tax and
tariff policies are considered inflationary, which markets
anticipate would keep U.S. rates high and hit trading partner
currencies.
"There is a little bit of recovery in CEE3 today,
euro/dollar is bouncing higher from the lows so there is some
relief," said a Warsaw-based FX trader.
By 0838 GMT, the zloty was up 0.15% against the
euro at 4.341, while the Hungarian forint, which has
been the region's poorest performer with a 4.8% fall this year,
was steady, hovering near its levels around 403 hit on
Wednesday.
"Emerging market currencies weakened substantially yesterday
while the dollar firmed," brokerage Equilor said in a note,
adding that even though local markets in Hungary were closed,
the forint also fell past 403 to the euro in illiquid trading,
hitting its lowest level since January 2023.
The forint's weakness forced the National Bank of Hungary to
pause its rate cuts at its meeting on Tuesday.
Even after cuts totalling 11.5 percentage points since May
2023, Hungary's benchmark interest rate at 6.5% is the highest
in the European Union, with the National Bank of Hungary (NBH)
heading for what could be an extended pause in rate cuts.
"Given the importance the NBH places on exchange rate
developments, we continue to believe the level of the Forint
continues to act as the 'binding constraint' on the pace of rate
reduction," Goldman Sachs said in a note this week.
On Friday, ratings agency Standard and Poor's is expected to
release its review of Hungary's debt ratings and the wait for
that has kept investors cautious.
The Czech crown was 0.17% firmer at 25.23.
"The Czech crown is in slightly defensive mode, but the
uncertainty before the US election is clearly affecting it
significantly less than the forint or zloty. The currency pair
thus remains in the 25.20-25.30 range EUR/CZK," CSOB analysts
said in a note.
CEE SNAPSHOT AT
MARKETS 1025 CET
CURRENCI
ES
Latest Previous Daily Change
trade close change in 2024
EURCZK= Czech %
EURHUF= Hungar %
forint
EURPLN= Polish %
EURRON= Romani %
EURRSD= Serbia %
dinar
Note: calculat 1800
daily ed from CET
change
Latest Previous Daily Change
close change in 2024
.PX Prague 1639.87 1639.810 +0.00 +15.97%
0 %
.BUX Budape 74052.55 73846.09 +0.28 +22.16%
st %
.WIG20 Warsaw 2270.39 2256.21 +0.63 -3.10%
%
.BETI Buchar 17464.98 17442.24 +0.13 +13.62%
est %
Spread Daily
vs change in
Bund
Czech spread
Republ
ic
CZ2YT=R ps
CZ5YT=R ps
CZ10YT= ps
r
Poland
PL2YT=R ps
PL5YT=R ps
PL10YT= ps
r
FORWARD
RATE
AGREEMEN
TS
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interbank
Czech 3.82 3.57 3.43 4.11
Rep Hungar 6.85 6.20 6.46 6.40
y
Poland 5.68 5.26 4.83 5.85
Note: are for
FRA ask
quotes prices
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