financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Currency markets drift ahead of RBA meeting as oil uncertainty weighs
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Currency markets drift ahead of RBA meeting as oil uncertainty weighs
Mar 16, 2026 6:56 PM

HONG KONG, March 17 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar drifted on Tuesday as traders weighed developments in the Iran war, while the Australian dollar eased slightly ahead of an expected rate hike from the country's central bank later in the day.

The euro was 0.12% lower at $1.1492 in Asian trading, while sterling was also down 0.1% at $1.33, pulling back the sharp gains from the previous session. The dollar index was little changed at 99.913.

Sentiment turned jittery again after several American allies rebuffed U.S. President Donald Trump's request to send warships to escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, casting fresh doubts on hopes that energy exports can begin to normalize soon.

Surging oil prices due to the U.S. and Israel's war on Iran have made investors more worried about inflation, triggering a sharp repricing of rates outlooks across the globe. That has lifted the U.S. dollar against most currencies.

Attention now shifts to the Reserve Bank of Australia meeting later in the Asia-Pacific session, with markets now pricing in a roughly 78% chance of a 25-basis-point hike.

The Australian dollar fetched $0.706, down 0.16%, while the New Zealand dollar was down 0.24% at $0.5848.

"The policy response to the crisis will begin to crystallise in the coming days" with market pricing shifting to reflect either imminent hikes or at least less easing than what was expected prior to the crisis, said Kyle Rodda, a senior analyst at capital.com.

Policy uncertainty has risen too and there will likely be division among central bankers about whether policy should react to the supply shock or look past it, he added.

The RBA meeting kicks off a series of central bank conclaves this week that investors will parse to gauge policymakers' views on the war's impact on inflation and growth.

The Japanese yen weakened to 159.35 per dollar, just shy of the crucial 160 level, despite verbal warnings from Japanese authorities on Tuesday. Analysts expect the bar for an intervention to be higher because of rising oil prices.

The yen is down more than 2% against the dollar since the war broke out at the end of February. "While the sharp rise in the oil price is helping drive a bid for USDs, the yen is coming under pressure simply because high oil prices and Japan's heavy reliance on energy imports risks stoking inflation and a significant deterioration in its trade balance," said Prashant Newnaha, senior rates strategist at TD Securities.

"At some point authorities will need to determine whether to protect the yen or the bond market. They can't have both."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks gain, dollar ebbs as investors bank on December Fed cut
GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks gain, dollar ebbs as investors bank on December Fed cut
Nov 24, 2025
(Updates throughout with European trading) * Traders pricing in 60% chance of 25bp Fed cut next month * Stocks rebound, dollar steady * Eyes on sliding yen as markets alert to intervention risk By Rae Wee and Amanda Cooper SINGAPORE/LONDON, Nov 24 (Reuters) - Global stocks began an event-filled week on a strong footing on Monday, as investors took heart...
Pound steady as markets await Britain's budget
Pound steady as markets await Britain's budget
Nov 24, 2025
LONDON, Nov 24 (Reuters) - The pound held steady against the dollar on Monday, with investors cautious about the currency ahead of Britain's budget announcement this week. Finance Minister Rachel Reeves will announce her long-awaited budget on Wednesday, seeking to reassure investors that the government can be trusted to be fiscally prudent while honouring pre-election promises not to raise taxes...
MORNING BID AMERICAS-Will the Fed come to the rescue?
MORNING BID AMERICAS-Will the Fed come to the rescue?
Nov 24, 2025
(The opinions expressed here are those of the author.) By Yoruk Bahceli LONDON, Nov 24 (Reuters) - What matters in U.S. and global markets today U.S. stocks look set to build on Friday's jump with investor hopes resting on a Fed rate cut materialising in December, but the question is how much further prices can bounce? I'll get into all...
Morning Bid: Will the Fed come to the rescue?
Morning Bid: Will the Fed come to the rescue?
Nov 24, 2025
By Yoruk Bahceli LONDON (Reuters) -What matters in U.S. and global markets today U.S. stocks look set to build on Friday's jump with investor hopes resting on a Fed rate cut materialising in December, but the question is how much further prices can bounce? I'll get into all the market-moving news below, but first we have exciting news! We've just...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved