Nov 15 (Reuters) - Foreign investors sold out of
emerging market stocks in October by the most since the COVID
market selloff in early 2020, but inflows to EM bonds and debt
more than offset the outflow, data from a banking trade group
showed on Friday.
The October monthly net total inflow of $1.9 billion
compares with a $56.4 billion inflow in September and an $8.1
billion outflow in October 2023.
Stock portfolios saw a $25.5 billion outflow, the largest
since March 2020, while bonds attracted $27.4 billion.
Chinese equities alone shed $9 billion while China bonds
pulled in $1.4 billion, despite a renewed stimulus push from the
government in late September. A fresh November stimulus
announcement also fell short of expectations.
"Despite targeted easing measures by the Chinese government,
investor confidence remains low," IIF economist Jonathan Fortun
said in a statement.
"These dynamics have driven substantial market shifts, where
growth concerns and regulatory uncertainty continue to deter
foreign investment in China."
As markets were setting up for the U.S. presidential
election in early November, late October saw a move toward
trades that would benefit if Donald Trump returned to the White
House - driving up the dollar and U.S. rates.
"Concerns over the dollar's strength relative to EM
currencies have amplified risk aversion in equity markets,"
Fortun said.
"This shift aligns with the expectation that yield
differentials and rate trajectories may increasingly favor EM
debt over equities as risk aversion rises globally."
Regionally, last month Asia saw a net $6.8 billion outflow,
while Emerging Europe received $5.2 billion and Latam $3.6
billion. Flows to Africa were marginally negative.
Year-to-date, foreigners have poured about $249 billion net
into their emerging market portfolios. Some $220 billion has
gone to debt, $169 billion of which went outside of China.