A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae
Wee
Friday brings a slew of purchasing managers' index (PMI)
readings as investors in Germany count down to a general
election on Sunday following the collapse of Chancellor Olaf
Scholz's three-way coalition.
The euro zone and Britain get February PMI figures ahead of
the U.S. later in the day, which could start to show the impact
of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs as businesses rushed to
get orders out before they feel the blow of import duties.
Euro zone PMIs are expected to show a further expansion in
growth, helped by a pick up in services and an easing of the
long-running downturn in manufacturing.
The focus in U.S. figures will be whether the manufacturing
sector's recent rebound into expansion is being sustained.
The UK is also due to release January retail sales data
later in the day, with markets betting shoppers loosened their
purse strings a bit last month after retail sales unexpectedly
fell in December.
A survey published on Friday showed British consumers turned
a little less pessimistic this month as the Bank of England's
latest interest rate cut led to an improvement in expectations
for their household finances.
Sunday's German election may result in a conservative-led
coalition government that faces pressure for much-needed change
to revive the stagnant economy - and moves to block reform by
populist parties if they do well.
The conservative CDU/CSU bloc led by Friedrich Merz is
tipped to win by polls but it will need a partner - or possibly
two - to govern.
Ahead of the weekend, the euro was steady at
$1.0501, helped by a weaker dollar that was on track for its
third straight weekly loss.
In Asia on Friday, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan struck a three-month high, boosted by a
rise in Chinese stocks amid enthusiasm over technology and
artificial intelligence (AI) companies there.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index surged to a three-year
peak and the Hang Seng Tech Index is up nearly 30% so
far this year, against a 4% rise in the S&P 500.
Investment banks have in recent days also turned more
bullish on the case for investing in China, which would mark a
significant change in mindset after years of pessimism.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
- Euro zone, UK, U.S. preliminary PMI readings
(February)
- UK retail sales (January)
- Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speaks
- European Central Bank board member Philip Lane speaks