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EMERGING MARKETS-Asian currencies, stocks subdued on Fed approach to easing
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EMERGING MARKETS-Asian currencies, stocks subdued on Fed approach to easing
Dec 19, 2024 10:48 PM

*

Malaysian ringgit extends fall to 10th session

*

Thailand Baht set for first weekly loss in five

*

Philippine central bank open to easing in 2025

By Aaditya GovindRao

Dec 20 (Reuters) - Asian currencies and stocks lost more

ground on Friday and were poised to close the week lower, as a

hawkish U.S. rate outlook kept investor sentiment subdued.

The Malaysian ringgit and Thailand's baht

weakened the most among Asian currencies, shedding 0.2% each.

The ringgit was on course for a tenth straight session of

declines. However, it remains the only currency among its Asian

peers which is set to end the year stronger.

The Indonesian rupiah traded largely flat, but was

set to end the week near a four-month low. It has weakened

nearly 8% since its September peak. The baht was on track for

its first weekly loss in five.

After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates as expected on

Wednesday, central banks in Indonesia, Thailand, and Taiwan

maintained status quo to address currency and global economic

uncertainty concerns, while the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas cut

rates.

The MSCI's emerging markets currency index

has plummeted 0.6% this week, threatening to hit a fresh

four-month low if it breaks below Thursday's low.

Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments linking future

rate cuts to inflation progress prompted investors to scale back

policy easing expectations, implying only 37 basis points of

cuts in 2025 and sending the dollar to a two-year high against

major currencies.

Central bankers across Asia, from South Korea to India to

Indonesia, swiftly responded on Thursday, intervening in markets

by selling dollars to defend their currencies.

Emerging-market assets are likely to remain under pressure

as long as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields stay elevated and

the threat of tariffs from the Trump administration persists.

"As a result of the incoming trade tariffs next year

contributing to stronger re-inflation bias, we expect the U.S

dollar to strengthen further against most major FX peers in

1H25," said Heng Koon How, head of markets strategy at UOB in

Singapore.

"Asian FX are expected to perform even weaker, to fall

alongside the Chinese yuan for the first three quarters of 2025

before stabilising in 4Q25."

In a rare bright spot, the Philippine peso and Manila

stocks rose 0.4% and 1.2%, respectively, after BSP

Governor Eli Remolona said the central bank was open to cutting

rates at its first policy meeting in 2025.

HIGHLIGHTS:

** China leaves benchmark lending rates unchanged

** South Korea to loosen foreign exchange regulations

** Malaysia's November consumer price index rises less than

forecast

Asian

stocks

and

currenc

ies at

0358

GMT

COUNTRY FX RIC FX FX INDE STOCK STOCK

DAILY YTD X S S YTD

% % DAILY %

%

Japan +0.21 -10. China 6 EC>

India -0.01 -2.2 Indones +0.03 -5.4 Malaysi -0.16 +1.7 Philipp +0.35 -5.9 S.Korea 17 11>

Singapo +0.05 -3.0 Taiwan -0.13 -6.0 Thailan -0.17 -1.1 (Reporting by Aaditya Govind Rao and Roushni Nair in Bengaluru;

additional reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by

Subhranshu Sahu)

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