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EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil, Mexico lead declines among Latam FX as commodity prices weaken
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EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil, Mexico lead declines among Latam FX as commodity prices weaken
Sep 11, 2024 4:56 AM

*

Brazilian inflation slips slightly in August

*

Brazil's Azul jumps after issuing FY net rev forecast

*

Mexican peso passes 20 per dollar level

*

Latam stocks down 1.2%, FX slips 1%

(Updated at 1950 GMT)

By Johann M Cherian and Lisa Pauline Mattackal

Sept 10 (Reuters) - Most currencies and equity markets

in resources-rich Latin America lost ground on Tuesday as

commodity prices declined, with Brazil's real leading forex

declines as investors assessed inflation data.

MSCI's index tracking regional currencies

lost 1% against the dollar, on track for its worst day since

August 29. An index tracking local equity indexes

dropped 1.2% to an over one-month low.

Oil prices slumped, with Brent crude falling to

their lowest since December 2021 after the Organization of

Petroleum Exporting Countries cut its forecast for global oil

demand growth in 2024 and the following year.

The dollar strengthened 1.2% to its highest in over

one week against Brazil's real, as prices of iron ore and

oil took a hit.

Data showed consumer prices in the region's biggest economy

fell marginally in August, coming in slightly below market

expectations, but traders stuck to bets on a 25 basis points

rate hike later in the month.

"We expect the Copom to validate a moderate relatively short

rate hiking cycle, starting with a 25 bps hike at the September

18 meeting," said Goldman Sachs' Alberto Ramos, noting he now

expects the next round of Brazilian rate cuts to begin in June

2025 meeting rather than July 2025 as previously forecast.

Elsewhere, Mexico's peso weakened 1%, hovering near

two-year lows and weakening past the 20 per dollar level.

Colombia's peso depreciated 0.9% to hit its lowest since

October 2023.

Copper exporter Chile's currency slipped 0.5% as

copper prices retreated on persistent worries about the economic

health of top importer China.

Markets were on edge ahead of a key U.S. inflation print

that will help investors assess whether the U.S. Federal Reserve

could cut rates by 25 basis points or a larger 50 bps.

U.S. rate cuts would ease some pressure on emerging market

central banks, which have struggled to balance economic growth

worries with preventing runaway inflation and shoring up

declining currencies.

Currencies of major economies in Latin America are on track

for declines year-to-date.

"The start of the Fed easing cycle is likely to allow for a

broadening on the emerging market cutting cycle," Ramos said.

Investors also awaited the first debate between U.S.

presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris for more

clarity on what either's presidency could mean for global

markets.

Brazil's Bovespa shed 0.2%, with oil giant Petrobras

down 1.5%.

On the other hand, Azul jumped 4.7% after the

airline said it expects its annual net revenue to increase 7%

from last year.

Argentina's MerVal index dropped 1.3% ahead of the

release of its August inflation data.

HIGHLIGHTS

**

Petroperu's board offers to resign as financial crisis

lingers

** Colombian government proposes new fiscal reform to raise

extra $2.84 bln

** Argentina sees energy investment reaching $15 bln next

year, fueled by deregulation

** Chilean central bank is expected to lower its benchmark

interest rate by 25 basis points

Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:

MSCI Emerging Markets 1062.74 -0.07

MSCI LatAm 2171.13 -1.20

Brazil Bovespa 134457.94 -0.21

Mexico IPC 51027 -0.21

Chile IPSA 6214.95 -0.28

Argentina Merval 1715641.6 -1.318

2

Colombia COLCAP 1313.66 -0.61

Brazil real 5.6542 -1.25

Mexico peso 20.0794 -1

Chile peso 948.84 -0.48

Colombia peso 4280.34 -0.92

Peru sol 3.7902 0.23

Argentina peso (interbank) 957 0.1044932

08

Argentina peso (parallel) 1260 0.7936507

94

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