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Colombian peso hits lowest level since June 2023
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Brazil unemployment drops to second-lowest level on record
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MSCI Latam stocks index off 0.7%, FX up 0.2%
(Updated at 4:00 p.m. ET)
By Johann M Cherian and Ankika Biswas
Oct 31 (Reuters) - Most currencies in Latin America
lacked momentum on Thursday, and were on track for monthly
losses, while Colombia's peso fell following a 50-basis-point
interest rate cut by the country's central bank.
The Colombian peso was down nearly 0.3% against
the U.S. dollar, hitting its lowest level since June
2023.
Colombia's central delivered a widely expected
50-bps rate cut
at 9.75%, citing economic uncertainties from U.S.
elections, while also revising its 2024 growth prediction upward
and trimming its inflation forecast.
MSCI's index tracking Latam currencies
was up 0.2%, while the stocks gauge was down
0.7%.
Both the indexes were on track for their worst monthly
performance since June, hurt primarily by risk aversion ahead of
a tight U.S. presidential race next week.
Some investors have increasingly bet that Republican
candidate Donald Trump will win, helping to lift the dollar and
U.S. Treasury yields, although he is still neck and neck with
Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in several polls.
Analysts see Trump at loggerheads with most left-leaning
governments in the region and his policies on trade, security
and migration are considered inflationary and unfriendly to
trading partners.
"Markets continue to be in a mini regime of heightened
volatility ahead of U.S. elections, with polling outcomes still
very close to 50-50. The risk appetite remains low as the
results can be binary, especially for some EM jurisdictions,"
Goldman Sachs analysts noted.
"We think that rates will continue to trade in a range
to slightly higher."
Brazil's real dipped 0.3% against the greenback, on
track for its fifth-straight day in the red.
The country's labor market is posting blockbuster numbers
ahead of next week's rate decision, amid bets of a sped-up
monetary tightening due to inflationary risks.
Data showed
Brazil's jobless rate
fell to 6.4% in the three months through September, below
market expectations and marking the second-lowest unemployment
level on record.
Brazilian lender Bradesco's shares fell
nearly 4%, even after posting a slightly higher-than-expected
third-quarter net income
, dragging the country's main stock index 0.6% down
to a one-week low.
Mexico's peso climbed 0.6% against the dollar,
firming after a four-day losing streak, but still hovering over
20-per-dollar mark.
Set for its fourth monthly decline in five, the peso has
been the most sensitive to volatility in the run-up to U.S.
elections. Analysts expect a Donald Trump victory to quickly
weaken the peso to more than 21-per-dollar.
Amid an ongoing judicial overhaul, the country's lower
house of Congress approved a measure that makes changes to the
constitution "unchallengeable."
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1120.83 -0.5
MSCI LatAm 2125.11 -0.65
Brazil Bovespa 129865.24 -0.59
Mexico IPC 50635.33 -0.48
Chile IPSA 6550.32 NULL
Argentina Merval 1855851.06 0.997
Colombia COLCAP 1360.63 0.31
Brazil real 5.778 -0.26
Mexico peso 20.0142 0.64
Chile peso 961.12 0.06
Colombia peso 4422.6 -0.27
Peru sol 3.773 -0.21
Argentina peso (interbank) 990.5 -0.15
Argentina peso (parallel) 1170 0.85