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Trump-Putin summit put on hold
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FX flat; rupiah gains rates kept on hold
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South Africa inflation rises to 3.4% y/y
By Niket Nishant
Oct 22 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks fell on
Wednesday as investors weighed lingering geopolitical tensions,
while parsing local data and interest rate decisions for fresh
cues.
An MSCI index tracking emerging markets equities
fell 0.31%, following a 1.26% jump in the previous two sessions.
The currencies gauge was flat.
Plans for a summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and
Russian President Vladimir Putin, where the two were expected to
discuss the war in Ukraine, were put on hold on Tuesday.
Uncertainty also surrounded a possible meeting between Trump
and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping.
However, relatively attractive valuations and a steady
demand for diversification has brightened the outlook for
emerging markets, and may set the tone for the rest of the year
despite a stalemate on the geopolitical front.
Brief pullbacks, common before policy cues, could offer
better entry points for investors on the sidelines.
"We are optimistic about the fundamentals in emerging
markets and believe others are starting to take notice of the
asset class," analysts at J.P. Morgan Asset Management wrote in
a note.
"Emerging market FX is the way to diversify from the U.S.
dollar. Even with the depreciation of the dollar so far this
year, the U.S. currency is still significantly overvalued."
The MSCI Emerging Markets index is up 28.65% this year as of
last close, handily beating the S&P 500's 14.52% gain and
the MSCI World Index's 17.09% jump.
RAND SLIPS, RUPIAH SNAPS BACK
Data released on Wednesday showed South Africa's headline
consumer inflation rose to 3.4% year-on-year in September, up
from August but lower than the 3.5% economists had forecast.
The South African rand weakened 0.23% against the
dollar, while equities crept 0.51% higher after a 2.18%
drop on Tuesday.
Indonesia's central bank unexpectedly held its key interest
rate steady, surprising markets with a pause in its easing cycle
after cutting rates at its past three meetings.
The Indonesian rupiah gained ground against the
dollar. The central bank has paused its easing cycle at some
meetings over the past year due to weakness in the currency.
The move could help preserve the rupiah's appeal as a carry
trade favourite, especially as rate cuts by the U.S. Federal
Reserve weaken the dollar.
A carry trade involves borrowing in a low interest rate
currency to invest in assets denominated in higher-yielding
currencies.
The Jakarta SE Composite index, however, fell 0.77%
after two consecutive sessions of gains.
Meanwhile, a report from Indian newspaper Mint said India
and the U.S. were nearing a trade agreement that would reduce
tariffs on Indian imports to a 15%-16% range, from 50%
currently.