* Brazil 12-month inflation eases in February
* Colombia improves 2026 fiscal deficit target
* EMs turn to measures to grapple with oil spike
(Updates with late afternoon trading)
By Pranav Kashyap and Purvi Agarwal
March 12 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies and
stocks extended their fall on Thursday as investors wrestled
with the inflationary fallout of the Middle East conflict, while
Chile adjusted to a major political shift following its
presidential election.
A gauge tracking regional equities slumped
3.8%, while a similar index for Latin American currencies
slipped 1.4%, as safe-haven appeal lifted the
dollar.
Oil prices remained in the spotlight after Iran's new
Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei vowed to keep the crucial Strait
of Hormuz closed, even as the world faced the largest-ever oil
supply disruption, per the International Energy Agency.
India invoked emergency measures to tackle supply shortages,
Poland turned to financial tools to soften the blow, and Brazil
scrapped taxes on diesel and imposed levies on oil exports.
"You see markets beginning to price in a potential
de-escalation and then starting to price in total uncertainty on
a longer-term, we'll have volatility until we have clarity,"
said Malcolm Dorson, head of EMs at Global X ETFs.
Separate data showed Brazil's 12-month inflation slowed in
February to its lowest level in almost two years, putting the
central bank in a tough spot as oil prices continue to rise.
Investors had been betting on a rate cut next week - Brazil's
first since 2024.
The real weakened 1.7%, while stocks fell
2.5%, swept up in a wave of global risk-off moves.
"They might approach it with a more tepid start... with 25
basis points instead of 50 because higher energy prices could
put pressure on inflation," Dorson said.
"It's an election year, I think rates should be coming down
roughly 300 bps before November."
Oil's jump above the $100-a-barrel mark revived a familiar
fear that has stalked markets since the Middle East conflict
began: a fresh energy shock, especially for import-dependent
economies, as it could broaden into inflation pressures.
Chilean assets also came under pressure. The peso was
down 2.2%, leading declines among peers, and stocks in Santiago
dropped 1%. Yields on the country's 10-year bond
hovered near their highest levels since November.
Jose Antonio Kast was sworn in as Chile's president on
Wednesday, marking the country's sharpest shift to the right in
decades. He has pledged to lift economic growth through
deregulation, spending cuts and market-friendly policies.
In Colombia, the finance ministry improved its 2026 fiscal
deficit target, aiming at a smaller share of gross domestic
product than previously planned.
Colombia's peso appreciated 0.7%, an outlier among
peers. Local stocks, however, plunged 3.5%.
Argentina's monthly inflation rate was 2.9% in February,
stable from January but a tick above analysts' forecast of 2.7%.
Turkey, Iran's neighbor, underscored those concerns when it
halted its easing cycle once again and left its key interest
rate unchanged at 37%, citing the inflation risks stemming from
the war's market fallout.
Stocks in Istanbul closed 0.7% higher, while the
lira slipped 0.1%.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market
prices from Reuters
MSCI Emerging Markets 1488.65 -1.83
MSCI LatAm 2973.76 -3.83
Brazil Bovespa 179391.27 -2.49
Mexico IPC 66138.56 -2.1
Chile IPSA 10399.64 -1.0
Argentina Merval 2704834.6 -2.38
9
Colombia COLCAP 2195.64 -3.5
Brazil real 5.2425 -1.66
Mexico peso 17.8416 -1.01
Chile peso 915.71 -2.22
Colombia peso 3677.5 0.73
Peru sol 3.4478 -0.81
Argentina peso (interbank) 1394.5 0.04
Argentina peso (parallel) 1400 -0.36