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Colombia's June inflation on tap at 2300 GMT
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Chile's consumer prices down 0.1% in June
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Latam stocks up 0.9%, FX up 0.5%
(Updated at 3:17 p.m. ET/1917 GMT)
By Johann M Cherian and Shristi Achar A
July 8 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies kicked
off the week higher, with focus on inflation reports out of
local economies lined up through the week, while Chilean bond
yields ticked up as traders expected a hawkish stance on
interest rates later in the month.
MSCI's index tracking Latin American currencies
firmed nearly 0.5% against the dollar on Monday
on expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve could lower interest
rates at least twice in 2024 on signs of benign inflation and a
softening labor market.
Meanwhile, yield on Chile's sovereign bonds
rose after a central bank's poll showed
traders expect the regulator to hold its benchmark interest rate
at 5.75% at its next monetary policy meeting later this month.
The peso fell 0.3%.
Separately, data showed consumer prices fell 0.1% in June
from the previous month, compared with economists' expectations
of a 0.04% slip.
"Persistent tight financial conditions continue to restrain
overall inflation, and the anticipated impact of increased
electricity tariffs was less pronounced than expected," Andres
Abadia, chief Latam economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics said.
The peso has depreciated over 6% this year as the copper
producer's central bank kicked off its monetary policy easing
cycle earlier in the year. However, the currency found some
support as the regulator shifted to a more hawkish stance and
prices of the red metal got a lift.
Colombia's peso jumped 0.9% in thin trades ahead of
an inflation report at 2300 GMT, with economists expecting the
Consumer Price Index to increase by 0.27% in June, compared with
0.43% rise seen the month before.
"There's not a lot of progress being made on the inflation
front in Colombia...so it's no surprise that BanRep's (Colombian
central bank) latest decision threw cold water on expectations
for a faster pace of rate cuts. With that, today's data won't
help," said Juan Manuel Herrera, senior economist at Scotiabank.
Meanwhile, Mexico's headline inflation should show a clear
downward trend before its central bank can lower the benchmark
interest rate, deputy governor Jonathan Heath said in an
interview. Its currency was up 0.6%.
Brazil's real eased 0.3% from a sharp rebound in the
previous week after President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva seemed
committed to fiscal stability.
On the equities front, MSCI's index tracking regional
bourses firmed 0.9%, with heavyweight Brazil's
Bovespa adding 0.3%.
Chile's main index was flat. The Andean country
saw copper exports increase in June, up 8% from a year earlier,
helping it achieve a trade surplus of nearly $2 billion during
the month.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market prices from
Reuters
Stock indexes Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1107.31 0.22
MSCI LatAm 2246.98 0.88
Brazil Bovespa 126382.00 0.09
Mexico IPC 52955.47 1.19
Chile IPSA 6487.11 0.05
Argentina MerVal 1637179.29 0.5
Colombia COLCAP 1382.08 -0.11
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.4779 -0.29
Mexico peso 17.9777 0.64
Chile peso 939.7 -0.30
Colombia peso 4042.5 0.95
Peru sol 3.7774 0.05
Argentina peso (interbank) 917.0000 -0.11