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Japan's Nikkei, Australia's ASX scale record peaks
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Currencies calm ahead of US CPI
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US-China trade truce extension largely priced in
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Investors await Trump-Putin summit on Friday
By Jaspreet Kalra
SINGAPORE, Aug 12 (Reuters) - Most Asian stocks rose on
Tuesday, buoyed by an extension of a tariff truce between the
world's two largest economies, while Japanese shares hit an
all-time peak, powered by tech shares after returning from a
long weekend break.
U.S. President Donald Trump extended a tariff truce with
China by another 90 days on Monday, staving off triple-digit
duties on Chinese goods, a move that was largely expected by
investors and markets.
Investor sentiment in recent weeks has been supported by
expectations of rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve, resilient
U.S. corporate earnings as well as clarity on U.S. trade levies
on trading partners.
Japan's Nikkei climbed to a record high and was last
up 2% as the country's markets reopened after a public holiday
on Monday, tracking other global indices this year. Australia's
benchmark index also hit a record high, ahead of a
monetary policy meeting at which the central bank is widely
expected to cut interest rates.
That left MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan a tad higher. China's blue-chip
stocks were flat while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index
eased 0.1% in early trading.
Markets have held modest ranges in recent weeks, waiting to
see whether the world's two largest economies can agree on a
durable trade deal or if global supply chains will again be
upended by the return of steep import levies.
The U.S.-China tariff truce extension "preserves the status
quo for now, so no immediate implications for investment
markets," said Shane Oliver, chief economist and head of
investment strategy at AMP in Sydney.
The U.S. and China have engaged in a tit-for-tat tariff duel
throughout the year, culminating in trade talks in Geneva,
London and Stockholm since May that focused on bringing
retaliatory tariffs down from triple-digit levels.
The latest truce extension clears the way for investors to
focus on an action-packed week dominated by U.S. inflation data,
a central bank policy decision in Australia and the first summit
between U.S. and Russian leaders since June 2021.
Traders are pricing in a 25 basis points rate cut later on
Tuesday from the RBA with another cut expected by November.
Investor attention will be on comments and forecasts from the
central bank.
"The uncertainties are around its guidance, in particular
whether it still sees further scope to cut rates and whether it
will remain gradual and measured," said AMP's Oliver.
Globally, the spotlight will be on the release of U.S.
consumer price inflation data later on Tuesday. Economists
polled by Reuters have forecast that month-on-month core CPI
edged up 0.3% in July, faster than the 0.2% in the previous
month.
"CPI will be a key test for market tone. Softer data could
give small-caps a lift, but for now, mega-caps remain firmly in
control," said Marc Velan, head of investments at Lucerne
Investment Management.
An upside surprise on inflation may also add caution to
market expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this
year.
Investors are currently pricing in at least two rate cuts
from the Fed in 2025 while J.P. Morgan expects the Fed to
deliver four successive rate cuts starting in September.
In commodities, gold prices were last at $3,354,
having dropped nearly 1.6% on Monday after Trump said tariffs
will not be placed on imported gold bars.
Oil prices were steady ahead of the August 15 meeting
between Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, aimed at
negotiating an end to the war in Ukraine. The talks follow
increased U.S. pressure on Russia, raising the prospect of
penalties on Moscow if a peace deal is not reached.
"The market is not pricing in significant outcomes from the
meeting, but any shift in geopolitical tone could have marginal
impact, particularly for commodities and certain emerging market
assets," said Lucerne's Velan.
Currencies were mostly calm in early trading, with the
dollar steady against major peers the euro and the yen.
Cryptocurrencies bitcoin and ether were a tad
lower after rallying in the previous session.