*
Mexico's annual inflation accelerates slightly in early
October
*
Brazil inflation picks up in mid-October
*
Traders: Argentina risk falls to 2020 debt rework levels
*
Brazil's central bank kicked off monetary tightening cycle
in
September
(Updated at 1944 GMT)
By Shashwat Chauhan and Johann M Cherian
Oct 24 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies traded
close to the unchanged mark on Thursday, as investors assessed
inflation reports out of Brazil and Mexico and braced for the
outcome of crucial U.S. presidential elections.
Brazil's real inched up 0.3% to the dollar. Data
showed inflation accelerated in the month to mid-October, as
higher electricity costs pushed consumer prices up.
Markets are pricing in that Copom will lift borrowing costs
by at least 50 basis points in November ahead of the U.S.
Federal Reserve announcing its own decision and as global
markets brace for the outcome of a tight U.S. presidential
election on Nov. 5.
Prediction markets favor former U.S. president Donald
Trump whose tariffs are expected to be a negative for trading
partners like Brazil and Mexico. Along with U.S. election
uncertainty, worries about
fiscal dominance
in Brazil have weighed on the real - the top loser in the
region.
Mexico's peso dipped 0.1% after rising for the last
two sessions. Official data showed Mexico's annual inflation
accelerated slightly in the first half of October.
"On the face of it, October's mid-month inflation figure...
pave the way for another 25 bps at Banxico's next meeting," said
Kimberley Sperrfechter, emerging markets economist at Capital
Economics.
"But the outcome of the U.S. election may well change
the outlook for monetary policy in Mexico, especially if a Trump
victory leads to a sharp sell-off in the peso."
Copper producer Chile's peso dipped 0.1%, while
Peru's sol was flat. Prices of the red metal were
marginally lower.
The Colombian peso firmed 0.6% after sliding to
one-year lows in the previous session.
Latin American currencies have been under pressure as the
dollar gained ground as investors scale back expectations of
large U.S. rate cuts, with a recent rise in Treasury yields
reflecting that sentiment.
MSCI's index for Latin American currencies
was up 0.8%, while a gauge for stocks added 1%.
Most local bourses advanced, with Brazil's Bovespa,
Colombia's Colcap and Chile's main stock index
up between 0.5% and 0.7%.
Mexico's main stock index lost 0.8%, with Becle
down 2% after the world's largest tequila maker said
it
sees lower net sales
and capex this year than it forecast earlier.
Argentina's Merval index jumped 3.3% after three
previous sessions in the red.
The World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)
are providing Argentina with $8.8 billion in financing, as the
cash-strapped government ramps up support from key lenders.
Yields on hard-currency Argentine bonds expiring in 2029
and 2030
fell over 100 bps. Traders said the country's risk fell
to its
lowest level
since major debt restructuring in 2020.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market prices from Reuters
MSCI Emerging Markets 1135.01 -0.6
MSCI LatAm 2174.64 1.00
Brazil Bovespa 129851.77 0.48
Mexico IPC 51728.7 -0.79
Chile IPSA 6725.8 0.58
Argentina Merval 1834213.6 3.376
9
Colombia COLCAP 1331.28 0.74
Brazil real 5.6701 0.32
Mexico peso 19.8468 -0.1
Chile peso 946.2 -0.11
Colombia peso 4294.71 0.63
Peru sol 3.752 0.03
Argentina peso (interbank) 985 0.00
Argentina peso (parallel) 1195 2.93