NEW YORK, July 2 (Reuters) - -

TRADING DAY

Making sense of the forces driving global markets

By Lewis Krauskopf, Markets Reporter

Jamie is enjoying some well-deserved time off, but the

Reuters markets team will still keep you up to date on what

moved markets today. A long holiday weekend awaits U.S.

investors, but not before digesting a heaping portion of

economic data and perhaps more developments on fiscal and trade

policy. I'd love to hear from you, so please reach out to me

with comments at .

Today's Key Market Moves

* Wall Street was back at record levels, with the S&P 500

touching

a new all-time high, lifted by tech stocks and news of a

U.S.-Vietnam trade deal

* The U.S. dollar gained against major currencies,

including the yen

* UK assets, such as the pound and British bonds,

were hit

hard amid rising concerns over public finances, after the

country's finance minister appeared in tears in parliament

following a series of costly U-turns on welfare reforms

* Oil prices jumped as Iran suspended cooperation

with the

U.N. nuclear watchdog

* Gold prices firmed, as weaker-than-expected jobs

data

fueled hopes of impending rate cuts

Today's Key Reads

1. Trump touts deal to put 20% tariff on Vietnam's

exports

2. Why are bond vigilantes holding back their fire?:

Panizza and Gulati

3. Microsoft to cut about 4% of jobs amid hefty AI

bets

4. Emerging market debt sale surge defies global

turmoil

amid signs of de-dollarisation

5. Foreign investors increase dollar hedges on US

stock

portfolios

Get ready for the jobs report

U.S. investors have some potentially market-moving developments

to chew over before heading out for their July 4 Independence

Day gatherings.

Top of mind heading into Thursday is the U.S. employment

report for June. Investors may be wary about a disappointment,

especially after Wednesday's weak private payrolls data, which

showed a drop for the first time in over two years.

Economists are estimating an increase of 110,000 jobs in

U.S. nonfarm payrolls for June, and an unemployment rate of

4.3%. The jobs report will be one of last key economic releases

before the Federal Reserve's next meeting at the end of the

month.

A weak jobs report could further fuel expectations for

interest rate cuts in coming months. Investors, as indicated by

Fed Fund futures, already have been ramping up such bets on the

amount of expected easing. September is seen as almost a

certainty for the next rate cut, if the central bank does not

first ease at the July meeting, which futures suggest is a

roughly one-in-four chance.

Wall Street, meanwhile, was back at record high levels on

Wednesday, with the benchmark S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq both

rebounding after day-earlier losses.

President Donald Trump said the U.S. struck a trade deal

with Vietnam that sets 20% tariffs on many of the country's

exports. Shares of Nike and other apparel makers rose after news

of the trade deal, which would impose a lower than initially

expected tariff rate.

The agreement could prove to be an appetizer to more trade

news as a closely watched deadline of July 9 nears. That's when

many of the harsh tariffs from Trump's April "Liberation Day"

announcement may go into effect if agreements with trading

partners are not reached.

In other policy developments, the House of Representatives

was weighing Trump's massive tax-cut and spending bill, a day

after the Senate narrowly passed the legislation. Trump has

urged lawmakers to pass the bill by the July 4 holiday.

U.S. Treasury yields were modestly higher on Wednesday amid

fiscal concerns about the legislation, which nonpartisan

analysts say will add $3.4 trillion to the nation's debt over

the next decade.

Stock and bond markets in the U.S. were set for early

afternoon closes on Thursday and will be closed on Friday for

the holiday.

What could move markets tomorrow?

* US employment report (June)

* US ISM services (June)

* US factory orders (May)

* Fed Atlanta President Bostic speaks

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect

the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is

committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

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