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MSCI Latam FX up 0.4%, stocks soar 1.6%
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Dollar, oil dip on Israel-Iran ceasefire
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Mexican headline inflation rises in June
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Brazil signals potential rate hike pause
(Updates with mid-session prices)
By Purvi Agarwal, Ragini Mathur and Pranav Kashyap
June 24 (Reuters) -
Latin American currencies and stocks rebounced on Tuesday,
buoyed by relief after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a
ceasefire between
Israel and Iran
, easing investor jitters from a turbulent 12-day conflict.
Markets welcomed the pause in regional tensions, as Israeli
stocks rallied 1.5% and the shekel surged 1.3%
to a two-year high against a weakening dollar. Israeli dollar
bonds also advanced across the board.
Momentum spread across the Middle East, with Turkey's stocks
climbing 3.5%, while Saudi Arabia's benchmark
posted a 2.4% gain and its dollar bonds edged higher.
"The focus will be on whether the ceasefire can hold ...
this is still a fluid situation," said Kathleen Brooks, research
director at XTB.
"Stocks are moving higher on news of a ceasefire between
Iran and Israel and the idea that this will remain a short-lived
war, rather than a long and drawn out conflict," said Chris
Brigati, chief investment officer, SWBC.
Investors took on risk, selling off the dollar that
dipped 0.4% and provided some lift to most EM currencies.
MSCI's index for regional currencies rose
0.4%, set for its biggest single-day jump in a week, while the
regional stock gauge leapt 1.7%, poised for its
first win in six sessions.
The currency in Chile, the world's largest copper
producer, gained 1.3%, tracking copper prices at two-week highs.
The peso had logged a sharp fall on Monday.
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund urged structural
reforms to revive Chile's economic growth.
In Mexico, the peso strengthened 0.6% and stocks
rose 1.1%. Fresh data showed headline inflation rising as
expected in the first half of June, bolstering bets that the
central bank will continue trimming interest rates.
Analysts surveyed by Reuters see Banxico delivering another
50 basis point rate cut on Thursday, but the bank faces a tricky
path as inflation races ahead of its 3% target.
Beneath the surface, Mexico's economy narrowly avoided a
technical recession in the first quarter and now contends with
soft domestic demand and anxiety over U.S. trade policy.
Meanwhile, Mexico's government took steps to shore up its
finances, executing a $6.8 billion debt operation in
international markets-slashing its dollar-denominated external
debt due between 2027 and 2031 by 15% and strengthening its debt
profile.
Meanwhile, Brazil's central bank signaled a potential pause
in rate hikes, noting that much of its "particularly quick and
very firm" tightening cycle has yet to take effect.
Brazil's real slipped 0.3% against the greenback,
while its stocks were 0.6% higher.
Colombia's peso edged up 0.2%, buoyed by the weakness
in the dollar, as oil prices fell about 5% on news of the
ceasefire.
This week, investors are also watching for rate decisions
from Argentina and Colombia.
Investors were also digesting debt issuance from several
EMs, including Turkey and Chile, while Barbados announced the
results to its first conventional international bond sale in 15
years, as per a report.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1212.79 2.58
MSCI LatAm 2290.38 1.69
Brazil Bovespa 137316.47 0.56
Mexico IPC 56725 1.12
Argentina Merval 2071986.7 4.798
Chile IPSA 8143.54 1.42
Colombia COLCAP 1669.97 1.35
Brazil real 5.5131 -0.32
Mexico peso 18.9882 0.62
Chile peso 934.78 1.28
Colombia peso 4076.5 0.16
Peru sol 3.578 0.33
Argentina peso (interbank) 1173 -0.09
Argentina peso (parallel) 1195 1.26