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Moody's downgrades Mexico outlook to negative
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Peru's economy grows for sixth straight month in September
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El Salvador launches $1 bln bonds with 12% yield
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MSCI Latam stocks off 0.5%, FX index flat
(Updated at 2022 GMT)
By Johann M Cherian
Nov 15 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies and
stocks were subdued on Friday, with investors assessing Mexico's
budget proposal for the upcoming year, while Argentine
hard-currency bonds got a lift following a credit ratings
upgrade by Fitch.
Mexico's peso see-sawed between marginal gains
and losses near 20.36 to the dollar, and the yield on 10-year
sovereign bonds ticked up 4 basis points as markets
parsed the country's proposal to narrow its fiscal deficit to
3.9% of gross domestic product in 2025.
The finance minister also expects Latin America's
second-largest economy to
grow between
2% and 3% next year, higher than the International Monetary
Fund's forecast of 1.3%.
Late on Thursday, ratings agency Moody's downgraded the
country's outlook to negative, citing a widening fiscal deficit
and recent controversial judicial reforms.
The peso has depreciated over 16% this year as markets
priced in institutional risks in the government and that U.S.
President-elect Donald Trump's policies against Mexico could
weigh on the economy.
"It's likely that countries across the region will come
under increased pressure from the U.S. to clamp down on Chinese
investment and influence in their countries. This is especially
the case for Mexico given accusations that China is using it as
a base to circumvent U.S. tariffs," said Kimberley Sperrfechter,
an emerging markets economist at Capital Economics.
More broadly, MSCI's index tracking currencies in Latin
America was little changed and was on track for
modest declines for the week. The U.S. dollar was hovering near
a one-year high and was on track for its biggest weekly jump in
over a month.
Peru's sol dipped 0.2%. The copper exporter's economy
expanded on an annual basis for the sixth straight month in
September, garnering praise from IMF officials on the sidelines
of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit.
Copper exporter Chile's peso dipped 0.4%, while
Colombia's peso strengthened 1%.
Argentine bonds advanced after
Fitch Ratings upgraded the country's long-term issuer default
rating to "CCC" from "CC," indicating increased confidence in
the country's ability to make upcoming foreign-currency bond
payments.
Economic fundamentals in the inflation-ridden country
have broadly shown signs of improvement under President Javier
Milei's austerity measures.
On the equities side, MSCI's index tracking Latam stocks
slipped 0.5%, with Mexican equities climbing
0.2%.
As part of the budget proposal, Mexico expects to transfer
$6.69 billion to state oil producer Pemex next year to help the
heavily indebted firm meet its debt and loan repayments.
El Salvador issued $1 billion worth of six-year bonds at a
yield of 12%. The country's hard-currency bond
maturing in 2030 trended higher.
Markets in Brazil were shut for a public holiday ahead of a
Group of 20 top economies summit next week.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market
prices from Reuters
MSCI Emerging Markets 1085 0.05
MSCI LatAm 2076.99 -0.52
Brazil Bovespa 127791.6 0.05
Mexico IPC 50421.36 -0.26
Chile IPSA 6527.02 0.74
Argentina Merval 2068870.3 -0.899
Colombia COLCAP 1344.95 -0.2
Brazil real 5.7947 -0.1
Mexico peso 20.3689 0.16
Chile peso 979.41 -0.37
Colombia peso 4431.88 1.02
Peru sol 3.8 -0.18
Argentina peso (interbank) 998 0.05
Argentina peso (parallel) 1120 1.75