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Capital flows to EM to net $903 bln in 2024, IIF says
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Rand weakens by more than 1% as vote count underway
(Updated at 3:30 p.m. ET/1930 GMT)
By Sruthi Shankar and Shashwat Chauhan
May 30 (Reuters) - The Mexican peso slipped for a third
straight day on Thursday with focus on the upcoming presidential
election in Latin America's second-largest economy, though a
weaker dollar on softer-than-anticipated U.S. economic data
cushioned the blow.
The peso edged 0.1% down to 16.96 per dollar,
recovering from a one-month low of 17.13 hit earlier in the
session.
The dollar and Treasury yields ticked lower after data
showed U.S. gross domestic product grew at slower pace than
previously expected in the first quarter, keeping the Federal
Reserve on track to possibly begin cutting interest rates before
the end of the year.
"Central banks in Latin America were relatively quick to
increase interest rates over the last one or two years, so they
have built in a cushion of sufficiently high interest rates,"
said Ezequiel Aguirre, head of Latam FX/FI strategy at Bank of
America.
"They should they should withstand the 'higher for longer'
aspect coming from the U.S. side."
Peru's central bank chief said that lowering interest rates
would not grow the economy without first raising the potential
growth rate. Peru's sol was last up 0.3%.
Other Latin American currencies were mixed, with including
the Colombian peso rising 0.2%, while Chile's peso
shed 0.6%.
Most polls showed ruling party hopeful Claudia Sheinbaum on
course to become the country's first woman president in Sunday's
national vote in Mexico.
"If the most likely scenario materializes, there shouldn't
be that much volatility (in the peso)," Aguirre added
The Mexican peso touched a near nine-year-high versus the
dollar last month, but has lost some steam since on concerns
about the outcome of the election and uncertainty around the
U.S. rate path.
Major developing economies are expected to see net capital
inflows rise by nearly a third to $903 billion this year, though
much of that hinges on global growth holding up, according to a
report by the Institute of International Finance.
Elsewhere, the South African rand weakened close to
2% after projections showed the governing African National
Congress (ANC) was set to lose its parliamentary majority in
this week's election, fueling uncertainty about policies under a
coalition government.
South Africa's central bank kept its main interest rate
unchanged at 8.25% as expected.
Brazilian markets were closed on account of Corpus Christi
Day.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Suffering drought, heat, blackouts, Mexicans head to the
polls
** World Bank approves $1.2 billion budget support for Kenya
** Chile unemployment rate hits 8.5% in quarter through
April
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1058.79 -1.24
MSCI LatAm 2360.55 -0.13
Brazil Bovespa -
-
Mexico IPC 55632.70 0.76
Chile IPSA 6635.72 -0.69
Argentina MerVal 1639745.31 4.594
Colombia COLCAP 1406.30 0.85
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real -
-
Mexico peso 16.9690 -0.12
Chile peso 916.7 -0.58
Colombia peso 3858.73 0.21
Peru sol 3.7365 0.30
Argentina peso 894.0000 0.00
(interbank)